Chiefs @ Titans Picks & Props

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in the league against the Chiefs defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (61.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has allowed a staggering 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (61.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the poor Titans defense has surrendered a whopping 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in the league against the Chiefs defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (61.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to be a more important option in his offense's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (21.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.6% in games he has played).. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.. When it comes to air yards, Tony Pollard ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among RBs this year, averaging a whopping 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 74.3% to 81.7%.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in the league against the Chiefs defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (61.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.8. . With zero red zone rush attempts this year, Gardner Minshew's one-dimensionality makes him a no threat in Kansas City's rushing attack near the end zone.

The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 127.0 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. Tony Pollard's 12.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 18.1.. The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has allowed a staggering 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.. The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. The Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Kareem Hunt's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 86.3% to 73.7%.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The model projects Travis Kelce to earn 7.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. The Titans safeties rank as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. With a terrible rate of only 0.69 per game (24th percentile), Gardner Minshew ranks as one of the bottom touchdown passers in the league since the start of last season.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in the league against the Chiefs defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. The Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7. . The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the poor Titans defense has surrendered a whopping 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7.

The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7. . The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the poor Titans defense has surrendered a whopping 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a puny 213.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-best in football.. The Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 127.1 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. The Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.8. . Gardner Minshew has tallied 0.83 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile when it comes to QBs.. Tennessee's defense ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year when it comes to producing interceptions, averaging just 0.47 per game.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has allowed a staggering 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.. This year, the poor Tennessee Titans defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a colossal 9.82 yards.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. Rashee Rice has gone out for fewer passes this season (76.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (65.1%).. In this contest, Rashee Rice is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.7 targets.. This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has allowed a staggering 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.. The Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.3%) to WRs this year (67.3%).

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Travis Kelce has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this year (19.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.6%).. After accruing 59.0 air yards per game last year, Travis Kelce has significantly declined this year, currently sitting at 44.0 per game.. Travis Kelce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a material reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.5% mark.

The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.7 per game) this year.. The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.. When it comes to air yards, Tony Pollard ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among RBs this year, averaging a whopping 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 74.3% to 81.7%.. Tony Pollard's receiving effectiveness has been refined this season, notching 5.34 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 4.24 rate last season.. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.6%) to running backs this year (85.6%).

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. This year, the weak Tennessee Titans defense has been gouged for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a massive 7.20 yards.. The Titans safeties rank as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game.. While Gardner Minshew has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's run game in this week's contest at 9.9%.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

In this week's game, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.8 carries.. Tony Pollard has been given 66.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. In this game, Gardner Minshew is projected by the projections to garner the 8th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.5. . When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

In this week's game, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.8 carries.. Tony Pollard has been given 66.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this season (42.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (60.4%).. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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