PHI -7.0 o44.5
WAS 7.0 u44.5
GB 2.0 o46.5
CHI -2.0 u46.5
BUF -10.5 o41.0
CLE 10.5 u41.0
TB -3.0 o45.5
CAR 3.0 u45.5
LAC 2.0 o49.5
DAL -2.0 u49.5
NYJ 6.5 o40.5
NO -6.5 u40.5
MIN -2.5 o43.5
NYG 2.5 u43.5
KC -3.0 o38.0
TEN 3.0 u38.0
CIN -4.0 o47.5
MIA 4.0 u47.5
JAC 3.5 o47.0
DEN -3.5 u47.0
ATL -3.0 o48.0
ARI 3.0 u48.0
LV 14.0 o38.0
HOU -14.0 u38.0
PIT 7.0 o52.0
DET -7.0 u52.0
NE 3.0 o49.0
BAL -3.0 u49.0
SF -6.0 o46.5
IND 6.0 u46.5
Final 4OT Dec 18
LA 37 2.0 o42.0
SEA 38 -2.0 u42.0
Jets 4th AFC East3-11
Saints 4th NFC South4-10

Jets @ Saints Picks & Props

NYJ vs NO Picks

NFL Picks
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave logo Chris Olave o61.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Chris Olave reeled in six catches for 85 yards last week against Carolina. He has logged 62+ receiving yards in six of his last nine games and he's finally getting good quarterback play with Tyler Shough under center. The rookie QB has developed chemistry with Olave who is the Saints only reliable pass catcher after they traded Rashid Shaheed and Brandin Cooks. Olave gets a juicy matchup this week at home against the Jets who traded away top corner Sauce Gardner at the deadline. The Jets are 31st in the league in defensive dropback EPA while ranking 28th in DVOA against No. 1 WRs.

Total
New York Jets logo New Orleans Saints logo u40.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Score a Touchdown
EH Evan Hull Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Alvin Kamara didn’t practice on Wednesday, and Devin Neal has already been ruled out, leaving Evan Hull and Audric Estime as the likely backfield options in Week 16 against a Jets defense that’s been gashed on the ground. New York has allowed 171 rushing yards per game over its last three contests, and only Buffalo has surrendered more running back touchdowns this season. There’s some risk Kamara suits up, but with the team better off losing, there’s little incentive to push him. The expectation is a fairly even split in a run-heavy script between Hull and Estime. I prefer the longer price on Hull, who profiles better for early-down work, while Estime may be used more in the passing game. If Kamara is ruled out, I’d play this up to +190 or +200.

Passing Attempts
BC
Brady Cook o27.5 Passing Attempts (+108)
Projection 32.06 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
Passing Yards
BC
Brady Cook o170.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 197.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
Receiving Yards
Adonai Mitchell logo
Adonai Mitchell o39.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 54.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
Receiving Yards
Jeremy Ruckert logo
Jeremy Ruckert o19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 25.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The predictive model expects Jeremy Ruckert to be much more involved in his team's pass game in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Breece Hall logo
Breece Hall o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 17.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The model projects Breece Hall to garner 3.2 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave logo
Chris Olave o64.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 71.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Chris Olave is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 9.6 targets.. Chris Olave has notched far more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson o37.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 41.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this game, Juwan Johnson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets.. After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has produced significantly more this season, now pacing 41.0 per game.
Rushing Yards
EH
Evan Hull o19.5 Rushing Yards (-135)
Projection 47.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run on 47.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.
Rushing Yards
BC
Brady Cook u25.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 18.43 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.
Rushing Yards
Breece Hall logo
Breece Hall o61.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 71.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Jets to be the most run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.8% run rate.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. In this contest, Breece Hall is expected by the projections to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.1 carries.. Breece Hall has averaged 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (85th percentile).. Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) vs. the Saints defense this year.
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NYJ vs NO Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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60% picking New Orleans

40%
60%

Total Picks NYJ 223, NO 339

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NO

NYJ vs NO Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Breece Hall Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Jets

Breece Hall
B. Hall
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.42
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.42
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 94th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a remarkable 4.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

Breece Hall logo

Breece Hall

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.42
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.42

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 94th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a remarkable 4.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

Devin Neal Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Devin Neal
D. Neal
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.20
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.20
Best Odds

Alvin Kamara Score a Touchdown Props • New Orleans

Alvin Kamara
A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.09
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

NYJ vs NO Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+4.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-2-1) and +7250 units on the season.

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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.0)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-2-1) and +7250 units on the season.

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Under
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'wgocts' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

wgocts is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-4-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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'wgocts' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+5.0)

wgocts is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-4-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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'CastlemontDB91' is picking New Orleans to cover (-3.0)

CastlemontDB91 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'CastlemontDB91' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

CastlemontDB91 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'dirtyharry57' is picking New Orleans to cover (-4.5)

dirtyharry57 is #10 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'dirtyharry57' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

dirtyharry57 is #10 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'Sabster611' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

Sabster611 is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'Sabster611' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

Sabster611 is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'nahfetest' is picking New Orleans to cover (-4.5)

nahfetest is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Lucknuts' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

Lucknuts is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'Lucknuts' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

Lucknuts is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'csmooth515' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

csmooth515 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'csmooth515' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

csmooth515 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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