Jacksonville @ Tennessee Picks & Props

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average). The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.3%) versus wideouts this year (73.3%). When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's unit has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs. Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. Tony Pollard's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 74.3% to 86.0%. Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the league (0.64 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average). Travis Etienne has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.2% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs. Travis Etienne ranks in the 88th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.17 per game. This year, the shaky Titans defense has been gouged for a colossal 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-biggest rate in football.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs. Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the league (0.64 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs. Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. The Jaguars defense has been gouged for the most receiving TDs in the NFL to TEs: 0.64 per game this year. Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the league (0.64 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average). The projections expect Brenton Strange to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (12.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played). Brenton Strange has posted significantly more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game). Brenton Strange's 36.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 21.9. Brenton Strange's 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a meaningful growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 73.7% mark.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs. Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. This year, the feeble Jaguars defense has been gouged for a monstrous 2.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the worst rate in football. Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the league (0.64 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average). This year, the shaky Titans defense has been gouged for a colossal 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-biggest rate in football. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's unit has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in the league.