Colts @ Seahawks Picks & Props

The projections expect the Colts to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.8 plays per game. This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a mere 78.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers. The Colts are a heavy 13-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The Colts rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.2% pass rate. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year. With an excellent 4.9 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Michael Pittman ranks among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers. The Colts are a heavy 13-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. The Colts rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.2% pass rate. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week. The Seahawks have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year. The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to total 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 36.6% Target% this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his air attack workload over last season's 24.3% rate. Jaxon Smith-Njigba checks in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 6.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 98th percentile. Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, completing an outstanding 75.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Josh Downs has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Cooper Kupp has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Rashid Shaheed has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Zach Charbonnet has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.