Cardinals @ Texans Picks & Props

Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Dalton Schultz's pass-catching performance been refined this year, notching 4.4 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 3.0 last year.

Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football.

This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average). Michael Wilson's 4.3 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a material growth in his receiving skills over last year's 2.9 figure.

Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Nico Collins is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.

This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Andre Baccellia has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 4 games.

Christian Kirk has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 9 games.

Jalen Brooks has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 2 games.

Jayden Higgins has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Emari Demercado has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 9 games.

Xavier Hutchinson has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jaylin Noel has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.