Ravens @ Bengals Picks & Props

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Baltimore Ravens have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.3 plays per game. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year. Mark Andrews's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 81.8% to 73.3%.

Mike Gesicki's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 29.6. The Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board. Mike Gesicki's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year shows a significant decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.1 mark. Mike Gesicki's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 80.7% to 66.2%. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

The Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board. Ja'Marr Chase's 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a significant diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 74.8% mark. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Baltimore Ravens have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.3 plays per game. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Baltimore Ravens have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.3 plays per game. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year. Derrick Henry's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 91.8% to 78.7%.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Chase Brown to total 5.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. Chase Brown has been in the 95th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 22.4 mark this year.

DeAndre Hopkins has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Rashod Bateman has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Likely has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Andrei Iosivas has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Noah Fant has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Samaje Perine has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Tanner Hudson has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.