Browns @ Bears Picks & Props

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year. This year, the daunting Browns defense has surrendered a measly 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 137.6 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week. The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 136.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 137.6 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week. The Bears pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (84.9%) versus tight ends this year (84.9%). The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 137.6 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts. In this week's contest, Jerry Jeudy is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 86th percentile among wideouts with 7.8 targets. This year, the deficient Bears pass defense has yielded a massive 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 137.6 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 137.6 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game. With an extraordinary 10.6% Target Share (84th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year. With an excellent 2.2 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift has been as one of the top pass-catching RBs in football.

Kyle Monangai has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Cole Kmet has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

DJ Moore has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Olamide Zaccheaus has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Cedric Tillman has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 9 games.