Houston @ Tennessee Picks & Props

This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play. While Chig Okonkwo has garnered 4.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Tennessee's passing attack near the end zone in this game at 9.6%. Chig Okonkwo's 26.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 77th percentile for tight ends. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). Nico Collins has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 34.2% this year, which puts him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).

The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).

This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play. With a high 13.3% Red Zone Target Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). While Dalton Schultz has accounted for 9.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Houston's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 15.2%.

This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.