SPREAD
TEN
+7.5 spread
5.9
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
9.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
TEN
+7.5 spread
Close Modal
5.9
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
9.07%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+5.0
-105
TOTAL
36.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.3
DIFFERENCE
17.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
36.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.3
DIFFERENCE
17.8%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u39.5
-120
MONEYLINE
HOU
-245 moneyline
HOU
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.78%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HOU
-245 moneyline
Close Modal
HOU
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.78%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-245
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.49 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
15.01%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.49 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
15.01%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. Nico Collins has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 34.2% this year, which puts him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
+150
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.18 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.18 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.09%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
+500
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.45 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.45 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).
+135
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.13 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.13 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. While Chig Okonkwo has garnered 4.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Tennessee's passing attack near the end zone in this game at 9.6%.. Chig Okonkwo's 26.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 77th percentile for tight ends.. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
+700
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.06 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-13.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.06 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-13.12%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (77.0% Adjusted Completion%).
+1300
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.23 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-15.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.23 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-15.7%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. With a high 13.3% Red Zone Target Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
+275
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.2 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-16.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.2 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-16.07%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. With a 61.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in this regard has been the Texans.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. While Dalton Schultz has accounted for 9.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Houston's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 15.2%.
+300
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.03 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.03 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
+900
RECEPTIONS MADE
1.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
10.55%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
10.55%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
u2.5
-166
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.68%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.68%
EV
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Titans.. Calvin Ridley's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 66.0.. Calvin Ridley's receiving skills have declined this season, notching a measly 2.2 adjusted catches compared to 3.7 last season.. Calvin Ridley's 45.1% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 56.4% mark.. The Texans pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.9%) vs. WRs this year (56.9%).
u2.5
-105
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.24%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.24%
EV
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Titans.. Tyjae Spears's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 91.2% to 87.0%.. The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.5%) vs. running backs this year (72.5%).. The Texans linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
u2.5
-103
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.63%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.63%
EV
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Titans.. The Texans pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.2%) vs. TEs this year (71.2%).. The Texans linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
u2.5
-135
RECEPTIONS MADE
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.1%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.1%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. Nico Collins's 4.4 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a significant regression in his receiving talent over last year's 5.5 rate.. Nico Collins's 57.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a remarkable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 67.1% rate.
u5.5
-157
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-13.13%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-13.13%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Dalton Schultz is projected by the projection model to land in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.9 targets.. Dalton Schultz's 4.4 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a noteworthy gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 3.0 rate.
o3.5
-140
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.96%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. With a subpar 57.8% Adjusted Completion% (19th percentile) this year, Davis Mills ranks among the least accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
u1.5
-150
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-18.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-18.07%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
o0.5
-150
PASSING COMPLETIONS
15.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
15.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
15.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
15.88%
EV
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Titans.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.
u17.5
-125
PASSING COMPLETIONS
19.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
19.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.25%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. With a subpar 57.8% Adjusted Completion% (19th percentile) this year, Davis Mills ranks among the least accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
u20.5
-125
PASSING ATTEMPTS
31.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.55%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
31.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.55%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
u32.5
-175
PASSING ATTEMPTS
31.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.82%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
31.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.82%
EV
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Titans.
u31.5
-120
PASSING YARDS
173.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.9
DIFFERENCE
20.64%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
173.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.9
DIFFERENCE
20.64%
EV
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Titans.. This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has allowed a meager 178.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the best in the NFL.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.
u183.5
-127
PASSING YARDS
204.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.9
DIFFERENCE
19.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
204.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.9
DIFFERENCE
19.92%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. With a subpar 57.8% Adjusted Completion% (19th percentile) this year, Davis Mills ranks among the least accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. With a feeble 5.59 adjusted yards-per-target (14th percentile) this year, Davis Mills stands as one of the least efficient QBs in the NFL.
u213.5
-112
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
1.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.23%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
o0.5
-168
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.09%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. The Tennessee cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
o0.5
-114
RECEIVING YARDS
34.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
24.13%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
34.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
24.13%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. The projections expect Calvin Ridley to total 6.5 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
o27.5
-118
RECEIVING YARDS
15.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
21.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
15.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
21.65%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. The Titans linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
o12.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
24.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
18.94%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
24.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
18.94%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. With a sizeable 14.2% Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo stands among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.
o21.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
69.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
15.02%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
69.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
15.02%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Nico Collins to earn 8.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.. Nico Collins has put up a whopping 106.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among wideouts.
o65.5
-115
RECEIVING YARDS
16.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
12.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
16.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
12.25%
EV
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. Tyjae Spears has run a route on 41.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The projections expect Tyjae Spears to earn 3.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.. Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 20.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
o15.5
-115
RECEIVING YARDS
33.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
33.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.32%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. Dalton Schultz's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a significant reduction in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 3.9% mark.. This year, the formidable Tennessee Titans defense has given up a puny 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
u35.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
12.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.0
DIFFERENCE
26.36%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
12.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.0
DIFFERENCE
26.36%
EV
The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
o5.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
40.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.1
DIFFERENCE
25.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
40.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.1
DIFFERENCE
25.88%
EV
The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. Tyjae Spears has received 31.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.. Tyjae Spears's 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects an impressive progression in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.6 mark.. Tyjae Spears comes in as one of the best running backs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.27 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 75th percentile.
o29.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
10.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
25.42%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
10.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
25.42%
EV
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a massive 7-point favorite in this game.. The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 6th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the predictive model to run 65.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.. The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average).. This year, the weak Tennessee Titans run defense has conceded a colossal 149.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.
o5.5
-112
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
9.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
15.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
9.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
15.92%
EV
The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.. Tyjae Spears has received 31.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
o7.5
-135
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.45%
EV
The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
o2.5
+120
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
14.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
9.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
14.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
9.45%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
u15.5
-150
RUSHING YARDS
59.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
7.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
59.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
7.96%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
u61.5
-112
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.48%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.48%
EV
The Houston Texans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Davis Mills in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
u3.5
-150