Eagles @ Commanders Picks & Props

With a remarkable 16.7% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.. Saquon Barkley has compiled a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. Saquon Barkley's 19.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 93rd percentile for RBs.. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. Saquon Barkley ranks in the 85th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.13 per game.

The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Commanders defense this year (73.7% Adjusted Completion%).. The Washington Commanders defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 2.00 per game this year.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Washington's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 48.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 38.2.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 76.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 63.6% rate.. Deebo Samuel Sr. grades out in the 81st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

A.J. Brown has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 29.7% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. In regards to air yards, A.J. Brown ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among WRs this year, accruing a staggering 96.0 per game.. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. A.J. Brown ranks in the 94th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an outstanding 0.50 per game.. The Commanders pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68%) to wideouts this year (68.0%).

Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 26.2% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.. When talking about air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the towering 87th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a massive 39.0 per game.. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. With a stellar rate of 0.64 per game through the air (98th percentile), Dallas Goedert ranks among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends this year.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.9%) versus tight ends this year (79.9%).

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. The leading projections forecast John Bates to be much more involved in his team's passing game near the end zone in this week's contest (8.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).. John Bates's 81.7% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 70.2% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has compiled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among running backs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).. The Eagles defense has surrendered the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in football to running backs: 0.29 per game this year.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

Right now, the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football (57.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Washington Commanders.. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.3%) versus wideouts this year (57.3%).

With a high 58.6% Route Participation% (95th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in football.. This week, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.6 targets.. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. With an outstanding 2.5 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the league.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Washington's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. While John Bates has received 3.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Washington's passing offense in this game at 9.0%.. John Bates's 81.7% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 70.2% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by the projection model to rank in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.0 targets.. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. With an impressive 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in football.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.9%) versus tight ends this year (79.9%).. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Washington's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.. A.J. Brown's 69.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 92.5.. A.J. Brown's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 70.6% to 63.6%.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (46.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Philadelphia Eagles.. The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.. Jalen Hurts's 65.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a substantial drop-off in his throwing accuracy over last season's 68.3% mark.

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (51.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. The predictive model expects Marcus Mariota to throw 32.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.. Marcus Mariota's passing accuracy has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 62.1%.. This year, the fierce Eagles defense has yielded a measly 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the NFL.. This year, the tough Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 0.93 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Commanders defense this year (73.7% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Washington's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

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At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.

The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. This year, the porous Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a staggering 264.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 3rd-worst in the league.. This year, the porous Washington Commanders defense has conceded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 9.22 yards.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Washington's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 51.1% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.. The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to throw 31.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.

With a high 58.6% Route Participation% (95th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in football.. This week, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.6 targets.. Saquon Barkley has compiled a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (37.0) versus RBs this year.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. While John Bates has received 3.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Washington's passing offense in this game at 9.0%.. John Bates's 81.7% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 70.2% figure.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

The projections expect A.J. Brown to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.. In regards to air yards, A.J. Brown ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among WRs this year, accruing a staggering 96.0 per game.. The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.. The Commanders pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68%) to wideouts this year (68.0%).. This year, the weak Commanders defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 9.25 yards.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. In this contest, Deebo Samuel Sr. is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.9 targets.. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (25.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a fantastic 44.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL (42.1% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. The model projects Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (42.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.8% in games he has played).. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s ground efficiency (4.79 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (78th percentile when it comes to running backs).

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.. Saquon Barkley's 59.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a substantial drop-off in his running talent over last season's 118.0 rate.. Saquon Barkley's rushing efficiency has worsened this season, totaling a mere 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.48 rate last season.. The Commanders defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is projected by our trusted projection set to accrue the most rush attempts among all QBs with 8.6. . Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 23.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (136 per game) vs. the Commanders defense this year.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.. The Commanders defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is projected by our trusted projection set to accrue the most rush attempts among all QBs with 8.6. . Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 23.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL (42.1% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.. At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. The model projects Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (42.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.8% in games he has played).

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.