Arkansas Razorbacks
Picks

15th in SEC (2 - 3)

Next Game

TENNTennessee

ARKArkansas

Sat, Oct 10 16:15 ET

TENN @ ARK Picks

NCAAF Picks

Game Prop

u2.5 Team Total Touchdowns (-160)

Best Odds

u3.5 +140

Pick made: an hour ago

u3.5 +140

Tennessee ranks 18th in EPA allowed per pass, making the aerial escape route difficult for an Arkansas offense already struggling to run efficiently. Arkansas ranks 125th in rushing success rate, so it can’t reliably lean on the ground game to keep Tennessee’s coverage honest.

That combination makes touchdown drives hard to repeat. Tennessee can challenge Arkansas to sustain possession rather than overcommit to stopping the run, leaving fewer favorable opportunities for the explosive passes that could otherwise compensate for stalled series.

Total

u51.5 (-109)

Best Odds

u51.5 -109

Pick made: 2 hours ago

u51.5 -110

u51.5 -115

u51.5 -112

u51.5 -115

u51.5 -110

u51.5 -109

u51.5 -110

u51.5 -115

u51.5 -110

Arkansas is poorly equipped to supply its share of a shootout. Its offense ranks 131st in early-down EPA per play, repeatedly leaving longer conversion attempts against a Tennessee defense that ranks 25th in that same early-down metric.

That puts pressure on Arkansas to rescue possessions through the air rather than build drives on favorable terms. Tennessee’s offense brings its own limitation: a 33% passing success rate, ranking 131st. A quarterback change could improve that, but pricing in an immediate transformation would be aggressive.

Spread

TENN -13.5 (-109)

Best Odds

-13.5 -110

Pick made: 2 hours ago

-13.5 -115

-13.5 -111

-13.5 -110

-13.5 -113

-13.5 -110

Tennessee’s biggest offensive weakness shouldn’t dictate this game. The metrics rank its rushing attack fourth nationally in EPA per rush, while Arkansas ranks 128th defending the run. That’s a direct route around the passing problems.

DeSean Bishop gives Tennessee a back capable of turning that mismatch into sustained offense. Arkansas can crowd the line, but its inability to consistently win against the run makes that adjustment easier to draw up than execute.

3 LEG PARLAY

TENN

Moneyline

u51.5

Total

u2.5 Team Total Touchdowns

Game Prop

Bet now

+330

Pick made: 39 minutes ago

Arkansas starts its average possession at its own 27-yard line, ranking 108th nationally. That leaves considerable ground to cover against a defense allowing opponents to gain only 34% of available yards, ranking 16th.

Those longer fields favor empty possessions or drives that consume time without producing touchdowns. Tennessee’s rushing matchup should also make protecting a lead more sustainable, reducing the need for aggressive passing late. Pairing its moneyline with the full-game Under and Arkansas’ touchdown Under captures that the best.

Arkansas Razorbacks Picks

Next Game

TENN @ ARK Picks

Consensus Picks

57% picking Tennessee

64% picking Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Over

TENN @ ARK · Props

TENN @ ARK · Trends

Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)

Tennessee have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.18 Units / -42% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.85 Units / -41% ROI)

Tennessee have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.55 Units / -30% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.50 Units / -22% ROI)

Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)

Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.30 Units / 27% ROI)

Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Arkansas has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 11 games (-10.30 Units / -74% ROI)

Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.45 Units / -71% ROI)

Arkansas have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.25 Units / -37% ROI)

Arkansas have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)

Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-3.15 Units / -3% ROI)

Top User Picks

'Sandsaver727' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Under (50.5)

'Paintedface' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Under (51.5)

'Sandsaver727' is picking Tennessee to cover (-13.5)

'Paintedface' is picking Tennessee to cover (-13.5)

'northlv6238' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Over (51.5)

'northlv6238' is picking Arkansas to cover (+13.5)

'Jerrybook' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Under (50.5)

'Jerrybook' is picking Tennessee to cover (-13.5)

'Piazzametsfan31' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Over (50.5)

'spiveytexas61' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Under (51.5)

'Piazzametsfan31' is picking Tennessee to cover (-13.5)

'Haloman' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Over (51.5)

'Haloman' is picking Tennessee to cover (-13.5)

'ciarajo' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Under (51.5)

'pittsburghphil' picks Tennessee vs Arkansas to go Under (49.5)

'pittsburghphil' is picking Arkansas to cover (+13.5)

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