Mississippi State 14th SEC5-7

Southern Miss 4th Sun Belt7-5

12:00PM ET Aug 30, 2025

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Mississippi State @ Southern Miss Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

MSST vs USM Picks

NCAAF Picks

Interceptions

BS Blake Shapen u0.5 Interceptions (-115)

Best Odds

u0.5 -120

Pick made: 3 months ago

u0.5 -120

Shapen is a fifth-year senior who has already faced tougher road environments. Though last season was cut short, he still managed an 8-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio, following a 13-to-3 mark the year before. Southern Miss could make this game strange, but that’s more likely to come from their offense than from mistakes forced on the QB.

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Spread

USM +13.0 (-112)

Best Odds

+14.0 -105

Pick made: 3 months ago

+14.5 -115

+14.0 -105

+14.5 -114

+14.5 -115

+14.5 -110

This is not the Southern Miss of last year. If anything, this is the Sun Belt-winning Marshall of last year. Head coach Charles Huff brought the Herd's biggest playmakers and most of its starting defense with him to his new job. Power rankings and bookmakers struggle to adjust their math for that kind of program-wide importation. And against a team as wretched as Mississippi State, that kind of edge is edge enough.

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	thumpmanspurfan	8-2-0	+4300
2	HeaTreatHotCapr	7-3-0	+4250
3	repl63	6-3-1	+4250
4	etrain25	8-2-0	+3850
5	courtney1966	7-2-1	+3850
6	deweyay9	6-4-0	+3700
7	LT56MVP	7-0-1	+3500
8	tvman	7-0-1	+3500
9	awake	7-0-1	+3500
10	LuckyGuy	7-0-0	+3500
All Golden Eagles Money Leaders

Mississippi State @ Southern Miss Picks & Props

MSST vs USM Picks

MSST vs USM Consensus Picks

65% picking MS State vs Southern Miss to go Under

MSST vs USM Props

Davon Booth Rushing Yards Props • MS State

MSST vs USM Trends

Mississippi State have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 62% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 9 games (-10.25 Units / -48% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 9 games (-9.00 Units / -50% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.95 Units / -44% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.95 Units / -38% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+4.25 Units / 85% ROI)

Southern Mississippi have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 10 games (-10.00 Units / -100% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 10 games (-10.00 Units / -100% ROI)

Southern Mississippi have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.85 Units / -37% ROI)

Southern Mississippi have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-3.85 Units / -29% ROI)

MSST vs USM Top User Picks

MS State Team Leaders

Southern Miss Team Leaders

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