Cincinnati vs Houston Picks & Props
CIN vs HOU Picks
NCAAF PicksHouston looks to bounce back from its Week 8 loss to Utah and take care of business against Cincinnati. The Bearcats have struggled defensively all season, ranking near the bottom nationally in several key categories. The Cougars should be well rested and motivated to blowout Cincinnati in Week 10.
If you want to get in and get out, backing the Cougars to end the half up by a touchdown or more is the play. Cincinnati ranks 112th in first-half points allowed, surrendering nearly 17 points per game. Meanwhile, Houston ranks ninth, giving up just a hair over seven points.
The Cougars should come out guns blazing following their loss to Utah and with a bye week behind them.
Houston should have no trouble putting points on the board against a Cincinnati defense allowing 32 points per game. The Bearcats can contribute offensively, too, while the Cougars' defense remains vulnerable. Expect Houston to keep its foot on the gas, creating plenty of scoring opportunities.
Playable up to 64.5.
Cole Tabb leads the FBS with 9.5 yards per attempt and has PFF's highest rushing grade (92.5) of any back in the country. He's averaging 94 rushing yards per game and can find room against Houston (112th in both EPA per rush and rushing success rate since Week 5).
If Houston comes off their loss to Utah and bye week motivated, this should be a very long game for Cincinnati.
With the road dog having such an inferior defense against a very explosive offense, this total could soar over with ease. Taking Houston on the 1H and full-time spread along with the Over for a 4.62x payout is well worth the sweat.
CIN vs HOU Consensus Picks
48% picking Cincinnati
Total Picks CIN 140, HOU 152
CIN vs HOU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
C. Weigman
(QB)
u270.5 Passing Yards
254.92 UNDER
PROJECTION
-15.6
DIFFERENCE
23.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
CIN
J. French IV
(QB)
o229.5 Passing Yards
233.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
16.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
C. Weigman
(QB)
o29.5 Rushing Yards
39.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.8
DIFFERENCE
24.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
CIN
J. French IV
(QB)
u24.5 Rushing Yards
20.75 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.8
DIFFERENCE
21.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
HOU
R. Sanford II
(RB)
u54.5 Rushing Yards
51.57 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.9
DIFFERENCE
14.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
CIN
C. Tabb
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
63.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.7
DIFFERENCE
14.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
HOU
M. Hughes
(RB)
u79.5 Rushing Yards
78.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
K. Young
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
65.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.2
DIFFERENCE
26.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CIN
M. Henry
(WR)
u42.5 Receiving Yards
33.97 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.5
DIFFERENCE
25.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
A. Thomas
(WR)
o69.5 Receiving Yards
79.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.2
DIFFERENCE
25.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CIN
J. Gibson
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
68.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.3
DIFFERENCE
25.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
T. Walker
(WR)
o53.5 Receiving Yards
58.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.6
DIFFERENCE
16.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CIN
G. Grover
(TE)
o14.5 Receiving Yards
16.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
9.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
P. Overmyer
(TE)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
57.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.5
DIFFERENCE
-15.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
HOU
K. Young
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
HOU
P. Overmyer
(TE)
u4.5 Receptions
4.40 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
C. Weigman
(QB)
o9.5 Carries
9.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
C. Weigman
(QB)
u21.5 Completions
19.45 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
17.27%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston.
Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cougars are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Bearcats last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-1 in Bearcats last 7 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Bearcats last 7 games overall.
ROI Trends
CIN vs HOU Top User Picks
'lewman53' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+10.5)
lewman53 is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.
'MrBaggins' is picking Houston to cover (-10.5)
MrBaggins is #4 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'nbahoops' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+10.5)
nbahoops is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'BLackSoX1877' is picking Houston to cover (-10.5)
BLackSoX1877 is #6 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'hammerhead66' is picking Houston to cover (-10.5)
hammerhead66 is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3300 units on the season.