Florida vs Georgia Picks & Props
FLA vs UGA Picks
NCAAF PicksI like Georgia to hit its team total Over at 34.5 or better. Florida is allwoing 34.2 points per game in SEC play and has given up 38+ points in two of its last three games. The Bulldogs rank No. 1 nationally in points per opportunity (5.21).
Between Florida OC Buster Faulkner's success against Kirby Smart and the Gators' dreadful defense, I'd take the Over at 55.5 or better. The Bulldogs rank No. 1 nationally in points per opportunity (5.21) and No. 2 in offensive success rate (51.9%). Florida's defense is allowing 34.2 points per game in SEC play.
I would take Georgia to cover up to -12.5 in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Florida's defense has allowed 28+ points in four of five SEC games. Georgia's offense is top 20 in offensive success rate (49.7%), and its run defense is built to stop the Gators' run-first approach; the Dawgs allow the second-fewest rushing yards per game in the SEC (90.3).
Florida's defense is a massive problem, and few teams are as efficient offensively as Georgia. The Bulldogs are No. 2 nationally in offensive success rate (51.9%), while the Gators are 125th in the country in defensive success rate (49.5%). I'm expecting Florida OC Buster Faulkner to have early success against Smart's defense due to his familiarity with the Bulldogs, but Georgia's defensive advantage should help separate it late in the game.
FLA vs UGA Consensus Picks
48% picking Florida
Total Picks FLA 225, UGA 248
FLA vs UGA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
o236.5 Passing Yards
260.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+23.8
DIFFERENCE
24.96%
EV
|
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|
RUSHING YARDS
FLA
J. Baugh
(RB)
u78.5 Rushing Yards
72.03 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.5
DIFFERENCE
22.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
u24.5 Rushing Yards
23.52 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
21.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
FLA
J. Baugh
(RB)
o7.5 Receiving Yards
12.26 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.8
DIFFERENCE
24.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
T. Taylor
(WR)
o42.5 Receiving Yards
48.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
22.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
L. Luckie
(TE)
o23.5 Receiving Yards
25.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
22.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
L. Humphreys
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
34.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
22.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
C. Dandridge
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
45.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
o18.5 Completions
20.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
17.49%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 7-0 in Bulldogs last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0-1 in Bulldogs last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Gators last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Georgia.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
ROI Trends
FLA vs UGA Top User Picks
'alayne25' is picking Florida to cover (+12.5)
alayne25 is #10 on picking games that Florida is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'gator49' is picking Georgia to cover (-12.5)
gator49 is #2 on picking games that Florida is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'hotvegas' is picking Florida to cover (+10.5)
hotvegas is #2 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +5000 units on the season.
'PSL21' is picking Florida to cover (+10.5)
PSL21 is #4 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.
'nit2win' is picking Georgia to cover (-10.5)
nit2win is #5 on picking games that Florida is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'salgundy' is picking Georgia to cover (-12.5)
salgundy is #6 on picking games that Florida is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'hammerhead66' is picking Florida to cover (+12.5)
hammerhead66 is #7 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.