Miami (FL) vs North Carolina Picks & Props
MIA vs UNC Picks
NCAAF PicksUnder 52.5 is playable down to 50.5. Miami combines a highly efficient offense with a slow pace and limited explosive plays, while UNC ranks 97th in scoring and could be missing two starting offensive linemen.
North Carolina +14.5 is the play as long as that key number holds. Miami has struggled to cover conference spreads under Cristobal, while UNC is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Miami can start fast without blowing the game open. This combo leans on an early Hurricanes edge, UNC hanging around as Belichick adjusts, and a slower overall game script keeping the total down.
MIA vs UNC Consensus Picks
48% picking Miami (FL)
Total Picks MIA 170, UNC 181
MIA vs UNC Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UNC
B. Edwards Jr.
(QB)
u219.5 Passing Yards
210.20 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.3
DIFFERENCE
19.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
D. Mensah
(QB)
o262.5 Passing Yards
263.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
0.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Mensah
(QB)
u6.5 Rushing Yards
4.93 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
23.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MIA
M. Fletcher Jr.
(RB)
o68.5 Rushing Yards
70.05 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
18.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MIA
J. Mallory
(RB)
u48.5 Rushing Yards
44.31 UNDER
PROJECTION
-4.2
DIFFERENCE
17.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIA
M. Toney
(WR)
o99.5 Receiving Yards
126.07 OVER
PROJECTION
+26.6
DIFFERENCE
26.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UNC
J. Thurman
(TE)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
56.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.4
DIFFERENCE
25.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UNC
T. Kekahuna
(WR)
o20.5 Receiving Yards
29.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.3
DIFFERENCE
25.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIA
C. Barkate
(WR)
o41.5 Receiving Yards
54.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.2
DIFFERENCE
25.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIA
E. Lofton
(TE)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
32.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.2
DIFFERENCE
25.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UNC
J. Shipp
(WR)
o71.5 Receiving Yards
85.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.9
DIFFERENCE
25.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIA
D. Upshaw
(WR)
o32.5 Receiving Yards
39.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.4
DIFFERENCE
24.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UNC
J. Thurman
(TE)
o4.5 Receptions
5.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
13.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UNC
J. Shipp
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
6.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
12.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MIA
C. Barkate
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MIA
E. Lofton
(TE)
o2.5 Receptions
2.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MIA
M. Toney
(WR)
u9.5 Receptions
9.42 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.61%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 8-0 in Hurricanes last 8 games on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games as a favorite.
Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a straight up win.
ROI Trends
MIA vs UNC Top User Picks
'hammerhead66' is picking North Carolina to cover (+15.5)
hammerhead66 is #1 on picking games that North Carolina is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'Luigi' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-16.5)
Luigi is #10 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'pardo3' is picking North Carolina to cover (+14.5)
pardo3 is #10 on picking games that North Carolina is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'derekpderek' is picking North Carolina to cover (+14.5)
derekpderek is #3 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.
'wordziplay' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-13.5)
wordziplay is #4 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.
'faustobone' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-14.5)
faustobone is #5 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.
'ewatson15' is picking North Carolina to cover (+14.5)
ewatson15 is #5 on picking games that North Carolina is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'Tbombs' is picking North Carolina to cover (+14.5)
Tbombs is #6 on picking games that North Carolina is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'forkball' is picking North Carolina to cover (+16.5)
forkball is #7 on picking games that North Carolina is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'deebo7348' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-14.5)
deebo7348 is #8 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'CappyKing921' is picking North Carolina to cover (+14.5)
CappyKing921 is #8 on picking games that North Carolina is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'DREAMER693' is picking North Carolina to cover (+14.5)
DREAMER693 is #9 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.