Minnesota vs Indiana Picks & Props
MINN vs IU Picks
NCAAF PicksWith Indiana quarterback Josh Hoover listed as probable after suffering an injury against Ohio State two weeks ago, there's a chance head coach Curt Cignetti leans more heavily on the ground game if Hoover isn't at 100%. With Turbo Richards priced above 60%, why not back the guy he splits carries with? Lee Beebe Jr. has the tied-third-most touchdowns on the team, trailing only Richards and two other receivers.
For the price and situation, I love the look.
Indiana's Turbo Richards gets a favorable matchup against a Minnesota defense allowing over 135 rushing yards per game. After being held in check by Ohio State and Michigan, this is a prime opportunity for the Hoosiers' junior running back to get back on track.
Darius Taylor faces a tough matchup against an Indiana defense allowing just 2.3 yards per carry and 81 rushing yards per game. With Minnesota splitting carries among three backs and Taylor averaging just 2.3 yards per carry himself, opportunities could be limited in this matchup.
Playable to 52%.
In two road contests this fall, Minnesota has allowed 27 first downs and 464 yards of total offense to Purdue, and 16 first downs and 279 yards of total offense to Washington.
Playable to 54%.
Minnesota defeated No. 15 Iowa last weekend, but they were outgained by 79 yards and only managed 11 first downs. The Golden Gophers were a ghastly 2-of-14 on third down, but benefited from four Iowa turnovers -- allowing them to escape with an unlikely win.
With College GameDay on campus, I'd play Indiana up to -21.5. The Hoosiers have struggled to cover this season, but they're a more consistent team than Minnesota thanks to an elite defense (ranked No. 2 by SP+). The Gophers are coming off a massive rivalry win at home, and this will be a letdown spot. Minnesota lost by 28 to Purdue the last time they were on the road.
Playable to 49%.
Minnesota's offense ranks 135th in rushing success rate during their last four games, which means they will likely be forced to replace their ground attack with more short passes. If Minnesota is forced into a pass-heavy game script, that means less running clock and more opportunities for chunk plays that lead to quick scores.
MINN vs IU Consensus Picks
67% picking Minnesota
Total Picks MINN 298, IU 144
MINN vs IU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Hoover
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
216.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.4
DIFFERENCE
26.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
MINN
D. Lindsey
(QB)
o158.5 Passing Yards
168.26 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.8
DIFFERENCE
20.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
IU
L. Beebe Jr.
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
71.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.9
DIFFERENCE
24.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Taylor
(RB)
o30.5 Rushing Yards
37.71 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
23.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
o91.5 Rushing Yards
96.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.2
DIFFERENCE
20.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MINN
J. Tracy
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
53.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.1
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o79.5 Receiving Yards
99.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.1
DIFFERENCE
25.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MINN
N. Jennings
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
42.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.7
DIFFERENCE
25.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
D. Taylor
(RB)
o10.5 Receiving Yards
17.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.3
DIFFERENCE
25.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
N. Marsh
(WR)
o69.5 Receiving Yards
72.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.4
DIFFERENCE
16.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MINN
J. Smith
(WR)
o28.5 Receiving Yards
30.73 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
14.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
D. Taylor
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
2.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MINN
N. Jennings
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MINN
J. Tracy
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
5.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
N. Marsh
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-14.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
IU
L. Beebe Jr.
(RB)
o12.5 Carries
14.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
16.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
D. Taylor
(RB)
o10.5 Carries
11.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
12.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
u17.5 Carries
16.90 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
MINN
D. Lindsey
(QB)
o16.5 Completions
17.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
9.81%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 6-0 in Golden Gophers last 6 road games.
Over is 6-0 in Golden Gophers last 6 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Golden Gophers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Hoosiers last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Hoosiers last 4 games as an underdog.
Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
ROI Trends
MINN vs IU Top User Picks
'lsbellmom' is picking Minnesota to cover (+22.5)
lsbellmom is #2 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.
'swtknguy' is picking Minnesota to cover (+22.5)
swtknguy is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'timstutler25' is picking Minnesota to cover (+22.5)
timstutler25 is #4 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4350 units on the season.
'RedskinsWoman' is picking Indiana to cover (-20.5)
RedskinsWoman is #5 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'chickenhawk3233' is picking Minnesota to cover (+20.5)
chickenhawk3233 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3400 units on the season.
'123freeme666' is picking Indiana to cover (-20.5)
123freeme666 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'sportsdool1123' is picking Minnesota to cover (+22.5)
sportsdool1123 is #7 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.
'Hoosiers1' is picking Indiana to cover (-22.5)
Hoosiers1 is #9 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +3400 units on the season.