Mississippi vs Vanderbilt Picks & Props
MISS vs VAN Picks
NCAAF PicksPlayable to 60%.
Vanderbilt returned seven of their top-10 tacklers from the 2025 campaign, and the results have been self-evident early this fall.
Auburn scored 39 points and had 373 yards of total offense against Florida, but only scored 21 points and had 279 yards of total offense a week later against Vanderbilt.
Georgia had scored 41 points or more in each of their first four games this season, but had only 21 points at the half in Week 5 against Vanderbilt, and ended the game with a season-low 38 points -- 17 of which came off of turnovers or missed field goals.
Playable to 55%.
This weekend's game between Ole Miss and Vanderbilt is forecasted to be directly in the path of Hurricane Isaias. Sustained winds over 20 mph, coupled with even stronger gusts figure to make passing the ball downfield a significant challenge for both of these offenses on Saturday.
Playable to 30%.
In poor weather conditions, taking the underdog to cover in a low-scoring game is a correlated strategy. The strength of Vanderbilt's roster is their veteran defense, which has performed well against other top offenses in the country early in 2026.
MISS vs VAN Consensus Picks
MISS vs VAN Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
VAN
J. Curtis
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
225.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+26.2
DIFFERENCE
25.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
T. Chambliss
(QB)
o269.5 Passing Yards
289.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.6
DIFFERENCE
23.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
VAN
S. Alexander
(RB)
o40.5 Rushing Yards
45.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.4
DIFFERENCE
22.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
K. Lacy
(RB)
u78.5 Rushing Yards
75.94 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.6
DIFFERENCE
21.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
T. Chambliss
(QB)
o23.5 Rushing Yards
26.36 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.9
DIFFERENCE
-29.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MISS
C. Odom
(TE)
o46.5 Receiving Yards
54.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.0
DIFFERENCE
25.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
K. Lacy
(RB)
u18.5 Receiving Yards
13.53 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.0
DIFFERENCE
24.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MISS
D. Alexander
(WR)
o69.5 Receiving Yards
81.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.4
DIFFERENCE
22.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
VAN
J. Sherrill
(WR)
u5.5 Receptions
4.94 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
11.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MISS
C. Odom
(TE)
o3.5 Receptions
4.73 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
11.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MISS
D. Alexander
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
5.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
VAN
S. Alexander
(RB)
o8.5 Carries
10.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
19.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
T. Chambliss
(QB)
o7.5 Carries
8.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
16.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
T. Chambliss
(QB)
o21.5 Completions
24.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
20.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
VAN
J. Curtis
(QB)
o18.5 Completions
19.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
3.27%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Rebels last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-0 in Rebels last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 6-0 in Commodores last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Commodores last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Commodores last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Commodores are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.