Kansas vs Utah Picks & Props
KU vs UTAH Picks
NCAAF PicksKansas may have put up 51+ points in two of its games, but against its two major conference opponents, that output dropped dramatically. And while the Missouri defense is solid, playing it at home doesn't compare to heading on the road to face off against a Utah defense that ranks 10th nationally in SP+, holds opponents to 4.7 yards per passing attempt, and gives up only 2.9 yards per rush.
Utah allows opponents to complete only 46.9% of their passes, which will clamp down on any explosive plays out of Isaiah Marshall and the Kansas passing game, which is outside of the Top 100 in completion percentage (57%). Kansas hasn't been bad on defense, holding opponents to 17.0 ppg, and Utah has played to the Under in each of its last three contests. That's enough for me to think this game won't get completely out of control when the Utes have the ball against a legitimate Power 4 defensive unit.
The Utah defense is real, ranking in the Top 10 in defensive EPA allowed per play (-0.20) while allowing 0.82 yards per drive. The Utes have also scored 31+ points in each of their first four games.
Utah's defense will allow it to cover the spread while still hitting the Under, as it has played below this total in each of its last three games. With the first half spread below 10 points, I'm also adding the Utes to cover the first half spread for my combo. They have held leads of at least 21 points in each of their first four games, and I don't see Kansas doing enough offensively to change that trend on Saturday.
KU vs UTAH Consensus Picks
70% picking Utah
Total Picks KU 22, UTAH 51
KU vs UTAH Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
D. Dampier
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
232.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+33.2
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
KU
I. Marshall
(QB)
o169.5 Passing Yards
182.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.3
DIFFERENCE
23.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Edwards
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
75.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.1
DIFFERENCE
26.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
KU
I. Marshall
(QB)
o25.5 Rushing Yards
29.46 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.0
DIFFERENCE
22.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Dampier
(QB)
o39.5 Rushing Yards
41.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
13.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
B. Pegan
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
62.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.8
DIFFERENCE
26.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
R. Johnson
(WR)
o20.5 Receiving Yards
28.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.5
DIFFERENCE
25.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
KU
N. McMillan
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
52.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.3
DIFFERENCE
25.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
N. Bennee
(TE)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
25.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
24.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
K. Kubecka
(WR)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
22.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.2
DIFFERENCE
21.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
KU
N. Cox
(WR)
u34.5 Receiving Yards
31.06 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.4
DIFFERENCE
18.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UTAH
W. Parker
(RB)
u24.5 Receiving Yards
21.15 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.4
DIFFERENCE
12.82%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0-1 in Utes last 5 games following a bye week.
Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Jayhawks last 4 games as a favorite.
Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 7-1 in Jayhawks last 8 games on fieldturf.
ROI Trends
KU vs UTAH Top User Picks
'KRU' is picking Utah to cover (-15.5)
KRU is #7 on picking games that Utah is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.