Alabama @ Indiana Picks & Props
ALA vs IU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Alabama is an immensely flawed football team that was fortunate for Oklahoma’s mistakes in the first round of the College Football Playoff. Indiana is one of the most fundamentally sound teams we have seen in years; those mistakes should not be gifted. But the Tide also have one of the highest ceilings in the country, and desperation should bring out their best side, the passing game. This hook begs for a backdoor cover from an explosive passing attack in the second half.
Receptions
IH
Isaiah Horton o3.5 Receptions (+122)
Projection 3.7313 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
JC
Josh Cuevas o3.5 Receptions (+118)
Projection 3.7105 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
TS
Ty Simpson u1.5 TD Passes (-145)
Projection 1.0831 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Completions
TS
Ty Simpson u20.5 Completions (-115)
Projection 20.134 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
TS
Ty Simpson u240.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 212.1501 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RN
Riley Nowakowski o17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 23.846 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
ALA vs IU Consensus Picks
ALA vs IU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
T. Simpson
quarterback QB • Alabama
Prop
33.5
Pass Attempts
Season Avg.
32.64
Fernando Mendoza Pass Attempts Props • Indiana
F. Mendoza
quarterback QB • Indiana
Prop
26.5
Pass Attempts
Season Avg.
24.31
ALA vs IU Trends
Alabama Trends
Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.00 Units / 23% ROI)
ALA
IU
Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
ALA
IU
Alabama has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (-8.20 Units / -34% ROI)
ALA
IU
Alabama has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (-6.75 Units / -34% ROI)
ALA
IU
Alabama has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.40 Units / -50% ROI)
Alabama has only hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 15 games (-6.00 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.55 Units / -39% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 7 away games (-4.50 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Indiana Trends
Indiana has hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games (+13.75 Units / 5% ROI)
ALA
IU
Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
ALA
IU
Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 1% ROI)
ALA
IU
Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
Over
Under
Indiana has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Indiana has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.05 Units / -37% ROI)
Indiana has only hit the Game Total Under in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-4.50 Units / -69% ROI)
Over
Under
Indiana has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-4.30 Units / -50% ROI)
Over
Under
Indiana has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.25 Units / -28% ROI)
Over
Under