Navy @ Memphis Picks & Props
NAVY vs MEM Picks
NCAAF Picks
Total
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Navy is still in the hunt for the AAC title and an outside shot at the CFP. That will require a win at Memphis on Thanksgiving. But in the spirit of the holiday, I'm betting both defenses will be giving in this one. While most people still associate Navy with the triple option with Blake Horvath under center, this Midshipmen offense can also be explosive through the air, which has been the Tigers' Achilles heel. While the Navy defense has also leaked like a sieve. Navy is 8-2 to the Over this season while Memphis has cashed the Over in four straight.
Receptions
JH
Jamari Hawkins o2.5 Receptions (-146)
Projection 3.1856 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
BL
Brendon Lewis u255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 232.2713 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JH
Jamari Hawkins o42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 52.5235 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
EH
Eli Heidenreich o49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 55.2968 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
GD
Greg Desrosiers Jr. u23.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 20.7532 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Cortez Braham Jr. u75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 73.765 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
BL
Brendon Lewis o43.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 58.1526 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
GD
Greg Desrosiers Jr. o47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 51.4497 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
NAVY vs MEM Consensus Picks
NAVY vs MEM Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
F. Peasant
running back RB • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.54
Greg Desrosiers Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
G. Desrosiers Jr.
running back RB • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.80
Christian Ross Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
C. Ross
tight end TE • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Sutton Smith Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
S. Smith
running back RB • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.67
Luke Hutchison Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
L. Hutchison
wide receiver WR • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.44
Theo Elwell Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
T. Elwell
tight end TE • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Blake Horvath Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
B. Horvath
quarterback QB • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.33
Brendon Lewis Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
B. Lewis
quarterback QB • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.69
Marcello Bussey Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
M. Bussey
wide receiver WR • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Cortez Braham Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
C. Braham Jr.
wide receiver WR • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.67
Brandon Chatman Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
B. Chatman
running back RB • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.23
Charles Robinson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
C. Robinson
running back RB • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Jamari Hawkins Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
J. Hawkins
wide receiver WR • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Brady Kluse Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
B. Kluse
wide receiver WR • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Makari Bodiford Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
M. Bodiford
running back RB • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Shane Reynolds Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
S. Reynolds
running back RB • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.11
Eli Heidenreich Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
E. Heidenreich
running back RB • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.69
Alex Tecza Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
A. Tecza
running back RB • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.85
Nathan Kent Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Navy
N. Kent
wide receiver WR • Navy
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Matt Adcock Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Memphis
M. Adcock
tight end TE • Memphis
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.23
NAVY vs MEM Trends
Navy Trends
Navy has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.80 Units / 0% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.13 Units / 7% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 away games (-3.20 Units / -43% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Navy has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.85 Units / -25% ROI)
Navy has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-2.80 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.40 Units / -36% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Memphis Trends
Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.50 Units / -50% ROI)
Memphis has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.07 Units / -33% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -26% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (-3.50 Units / -6% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
NAVY vs MEM Top User Picks
Navy Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TDRO1 | 9-1-0 | +6700 |
| 2 | gargoyle127 | 7-3-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 4 | Bass7672 | 8-2-0 | +4630 |
| 5 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| 6 | luckyme1 | 7-3-0 | +3860 |
| 7 | Tbombs | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 8 | CashenIn | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 9 | Fearthebird67 | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 10 | djmdthedoc | 9-1-0 | +3750 |
| All Midshipmen Money Leaders | |||
Memphis Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCKILLA | 9-1-0 | +6750 |
| 2 | lsbellmom | 7-3-0 | +6250 |
| 3 | harrisonian175 | 8-2-0 | +5350 |
| 4 | TNSweep | 8-1-1 | +5300 |
| 5 | vanillagq | 7-3-0 | +5300 |
| 6 | ccpapa | 6-3-1 | +5200 |
| 7 | vegasWA | 10-0-0 | +5000 |
| 8 | davediver23 | 8-2-0 | +4630 |
| 9 | doomsday07 | 6-4-0 | +4600 |
| 10 | cloverboy | 7-2-1 | +4320 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||