Navy @ Memphis Picks & Props
NAVY vs MEM Picks
NCAAF Picks
Total
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Navy is still in the hunt for the AAC title and an outside shot at the CFP. That will require a win at Memphis on Thanksgiving. But in the spirit of the holiday, I'm betting both defenses will be giving in this one. While most people still associate Navy with the triple option with Blake Horvath under center, this Midshipmen offense can also be explosive through the air, which has been the Tigers' Achilles heel. While the Navy defense has also leaked like a sieve. Navy is 8-2 to the Over this season while Memphis has cashed the Over in four straight.
TD Passes
BL
Brendon Lewis o1.5 TD Passes (-120)
Projection 1.8448 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Blake Horvath o121.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 154.7123 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
BL
Brendon Lewis o234.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 237.2639 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Cortez Braham Jr. o67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 75.0191 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JH
Jamari Hawkins o45.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 47.2351 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
EH
Eli Heidenreich o54.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 55.6355 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
BL
Brendon Lewis o43.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 61.0807 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
GD
Greg Desrosiers Jr. o47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 52.5161 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
NAVY vs MEM Consensus Picks
NAVY vs MEM Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
B. Lewis
quarterback QB • Memphis
Prop
312.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
270.64
Blake Horvath Pas and Rus Yards Props • Navy
B. Horvath
quarterback QB • Navy
Prop
257.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
252.89
NAVY vs MEM Trends
Navy Trends
Navy has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.80 Units / 0% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.13 Units / 7% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 away games (-3.20 Units / -43% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Navy has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.85 Units / -25% ROI)
Navy has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-2.80 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
Navy have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.40 Units / -36% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Memphis Trends
Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
NAVY
MEM
Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.50 Units / -50% ROI)
Memphis has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.07 Units / -33% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -26% ROI)
Over
Under
Memphis has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (-3.50 Units / -6% ROI)
NAVY
MEM