Bryan Jackson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
B. Jackson
running back RB • USC
Iowa @ USC Picks & Props
IOWA vs USC Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
IOWA (+220)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
USC's biggest weakness this year has been stopping the run, and Iowa's built to take advantage. The Trojans rank 76th defensively in EPA/rush, with opponents posting a 46.8% success rate that ranks 122nd in college football. Those struggles stem from a front seven that ranks in the Bottom 10 nationally in yards allowed before contact.
The Hawkeyes have one of the most lopsided run rate above expected marks in college football, and a mobile quarterback in Mark Gronowski who can make plays with his legs. USC ranks 103rd in EPA on designed QB runs this year.
Keeping this high-powered Trojan offense on the sideline is the best way for the Hawkeyes to neutralize it, but Iowa also ranks seventh in EPA/dropback and 20th in completion rate against.
Iowa hasn't lost consecutive regular season games in over three years, having won nine times following a defeat. The Hawkeyes will push it to 10 here.
Receptions
Makai Lemon u6.5 Receptions (+112)
Projection 5.9745 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
MG
Mark Gronowski o133.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 160.6071 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
JM
Jayden Maiava u230.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 220.8385 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Makai Lemon u89.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 83.9777 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Ja'Kobi Lane u50.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 49.8534 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
JM
Jayden Maiava o8.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 14.655 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
KM
Kamari Moulton u85.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 71.7268 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
MG
Mark Gronowski o29.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 36.7392 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
BJ
Bryan Jackson u25.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 21.4759 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
KM
King Miller u95.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 87.4704 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
IOWA vs USC Consensus Picks
IOWA vs USC Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Reece Vander Zee Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
R. Vander Zee
wide receiver WR • Iowa
Sam Phillips Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
S. Phillips
wide receiver WR • Iowa
DJ Vonnahme Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
D. Vonnahme
tight end TE • Iowa
King Miller Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
K. Miller
running back RB • USC
Lake McRee Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
L. McRee
tight end TE • USC
Jayden Maiava Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
J. Maiava
quarterback QB • USC
Ja'Kobi Lane Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
J. Lane
wide receiver WR • USC
Makai Lemon Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
M. Lemon
wide receiver WR • USC
Kaden Wetjen Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
K. Wetjen
wide receiver WR • Iowa
Jaden Richardson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
J. Richardson
wide receiver WR • USC
Seth Anderson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
S. Anderson
wide receiver WR • Iowa
Mark Gronowski Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
M. Gronowski
quarterback QB • Iowa
Nathan McNeil Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
N. McNeil
running back RB • Iowa
Hayden Large Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
H. Large
tight end TE • Iowa
Tanook Hines Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
T. Hines
wide receiver WR • USC
Kamari Moulton Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
K. Moulton
running back RB • Iowa
Xavier Williams Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
X. Williams
running back RB • Iowa
KJ Parker Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
K. Parker
wide receiver WR • Iowa
Walker Lyons Score a First Half Touchdown Props • USC
W. Lyons
tight end TE • USC
Dayton Howard Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Iowa
D. Howard
wide receiver WR • Iowa
IOWA vs USC Trends
Iowa Trends
Iowa have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.74 Units / 29% ROI)
IOWA
USC
Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
IOWA
USC
Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
IOWA
USC
Iowa has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.65 Units / -46% ROI)
Iowa has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 1 of their last 5 away games (-3.55 Units / -62% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.45 Units / -25% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 5 away games (-1.30 Units / -24% ROI)
Over
Under
USC Trends
USC has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
IOWA
USC
USC has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
IOWA
USC
USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Over
Under
USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
IOWA
USC
USC have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
IOWA
USC
USC have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.85 Units / -44% ROI)
IOWA
USC
USC has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.80 Units / -73% ROI)
Over
Under
USC has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 5 games at home (-5.65 Units / -100% ROI)
USC has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.80 Units / -47% ROI)
Over
Under
USC has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.50 Units / -45% ROI)
Over
Under
IOWA vs USC Top User Picks
Iowa Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | griz55 | 8-2-0 | +6250 |
| 2 | whooped | 5-5-0 | +4650 |
| 3 | spiveytexas61 | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| 4 | nfl_brosuf | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 5 | robocop6 | 7-3-0 | +4200 |
| 6 | RebelMas | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 7 | jimbojpc | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 8 | nahfetest | 7-2-1 | +3900 |
| 9 | ACEhole_1 | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 10 | Gator Hator | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Hawkeyes Money Leaders | |||
USC Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 8-2-0 | +6250 |
| 2 | fadennis6 | 8-2-0 | +5700 |
| 3 | moneyformo | 9-1-0 | +5300 |
| 4 | sghawks | 8-2-0 | +5300 |
| 5 | sprality777 | 7-3-0 | +5200 |
| 6 | FoxyFoxes | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 7 | jazzmatazz | 5-5-0 | +4700 |
| 8 | declin005 | 8-2-0 | +4700 |
| 9 | DREAMER693 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| 10 | robocop6 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| All Trojans Money Leaders | |||