Florida State @ Clemson Picks & Props
FSU vs CLEM Picks
NCAAF Picks
TD Passes
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
MoneyLine
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
We're 3-0 going against Clemson as a favorite, and this is another spot where the wrong team is favored.
Florida State ranks 23rd in red zone scoring, 17th in offensive line push on run plays, 18th in quality drive rate, and fourth in points per quality drive. That's bad news for a Clemson defense that isn't holding up in the red zone, and is struggling with EPA/run and EPA/pass.
Add in the fact that the Tigers can't consistently run the ball, and can't defend the red zone, and you've got another situation where the underdog should provide us with profit.
TD Passes
TC
Tommy Castellanos u1.5 TD Passes (-166)
Projection 1.2211 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
TC
Tommy Castellanos u220.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 197.0436 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
Cade Klubnik u277.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 253.8414 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RP
Randy Pittman Jr. o21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 33.7251 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
TM
T.J. Moore u68.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 55.1726 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Antonio Williams u75.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 63.7463 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MD
Micahi Danzy u54.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 44.9741 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AR
Adam Randall o17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 21.1538 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Duce Robinson u76.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 74.1093 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
GS
Gavin Sawchuk o45.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 56.9852 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
FSU vs CLEM Consensus Picks
FSU vs CLEM Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
R. Pittman Jr.
tight end TE • Florida State
Prop
21.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
33.73
T.J. Moore Receiving Yards Props • Clemson
T. Moore
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
68.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
55.17
Antonio Williams Receiving Yards Props • Clemson
A. Williams
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
75.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
63.75
Micahi Danzy Receiving Yards Props • Florida State
M. Danzy
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
54.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
44.97
Adam Randall Receiving Yards Props • Clemson
A. Randall
running back RB • Clemson
Prop
17.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
21.15
Duce Robinson Receiving Yards Props • Florida State
D. Robinson
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
77.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
74.11
Tristan Smith Receiving Yards Props • Clemson
T. Smith
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
44.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
24.00
(Season avg.)
FSU vs CLEM Trends
Florida State Trends
Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.52 Units / 16% ROI)
Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.09 Units / 1% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida State has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 8 games (-13.05 Units / -55% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-7.00 Units / -77% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-5.95 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State have not covered the 1H Spread in any of their last 3 away games (-3.60 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State have not covered the Spread in any of their last 3 away games (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson Trends
Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 4 games at home (-47.75 Units / -97% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 4 games at home (-16.45 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 5 games at home (-14.95 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson have not covered the Spread in any of their last 7 games at home (-7.70 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson have only covered the 1H Spread in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-4.85 Units / -69% ROI)
FSU
CLEM