Houston @ UCF Picks & Props
HOU vs UCF Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Oddsmakers are overreacting to a bad loss by Houston to West Virginia last time out. The Cougars have been the much better team over the course of the season. UCF is just 1-4 in Big 12 play, scoring 20 points or fewer in all four losses. Not to mention dual-threat QBs have given the Knights plenty of problems this season.
TD Passes
Conner Weigman u1.5 TD Passes (-160)
Projection 0.9947 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TD Passes
TJ
Tayven Jackson u1.5 TD Passes (-235)
Projection 0.9413 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Conner Weigman u209.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 178.8424 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
TJ
Tayven Jackson o177.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 196.9122 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DT
Duane Thomas Jr. o45.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 49.5065 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AT
Amare Thomas u57.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 54.2012 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DW
Dylan Wade o32.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 35.0586 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
TK
Tanner Koziol o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 50.126 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Conner Weigman o39.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Projection 46.5983 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
MM
Myles Montgomery u64.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 59.774 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
HOU vs UCF Consensus Picks
HOU vs UCF Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
D. Thomas Jr.
wide receiver WR • UCF
Prop
45.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
49.51
Amare Thomas Receiving Yards Props • Houston
A. Thomas
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
57.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
54.2
Dylan Wade Receiving Yards Props • UCF
D. Wade
tight end TE • UCF
Prop
32.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
35.06
Tanner Koziol Receiving Yards Props • Houston
T. Koziol
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
48.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
50.13
HOU vs UCF Trends
Houston Trends
Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.51 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
Houston has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
HOU
UCF
Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Houston have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
HOU
UCF
Houston has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.20 Units / -38% ROI)
Over
Under
Houston have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.10 Units / -37% ROI)
HOU
UCF
Houston has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.55 Units / -52% ROI)
Houston has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (-3.90 Units / -19% ROI)
HOU
UCF
Houston have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.55 Units / -24% ROI)
HOU
UCF
UCF Trends
UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Over
Under
UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Over
Under
UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
HOU
UCF
UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.63 Units / 23% ROI)
HOU
UCF
UCF has only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (-7.00 Units / -27% ROI)
HOU
UCF
UCF has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 11 games (-4.90 Units / -39% ROI)
Over
Under
UCF have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.70 Units / -31% ROI)
HOU
UCF
UCF has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.70 Units / -31% ROI)
Over
Under