Bear Bachmeier Rushing Yards Props • BYU
B. Bachmeier
quarterback QB • BYU
BYU @ Iowa State Picks & Props
BYU vs ISU Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
BYU (+120)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
BYU is in the final game of a six-week, six-game gauntlet. But I think the Cougars are being discounted too much here.
Iowa State lost to Colorado before the bye week, and struggled with a dual-threat quarterback. Bear Bachmeier will be able to hurt a defense ranked 67th in rush success against and 72nd in third-down success.
The Cougars are one of the most effective rushing teams in college football, and have a defense that generates a solid havoc rate and limits explosive runs. They also rank Top 20 in third-down rate, against an Iowa State offense ranked 88th in moving the chains.
I'll take the better team, tired or not, to get the win.
Spread
BYU +2.5 (-104)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
BYU can defend, allowing 24 points or less in all but one game this season. They rank second in the Big 12 in scoring, allowing 15.6 points per game, while ranking inside the Top 4 in both rush and pass yards against. The Cougars can win outright on the road, and getting those 2.5 points is simply gravy.
TD Passes
BB
Bear Bachmeier u1.5 TD Passes (-250)
Projection 0.7385 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
Rocco Becht u1.5 TD Passes (-140)
Projection 1.2448 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Rocco Becht u232.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 202.1724 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
BB
Bear Bachmeier u180.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 178.1305 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CR
Carsen Ryan o27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 34.3961 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CS
Chase Sowell u52.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 47.5955 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CR
Chase Roberts u59.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 57.199 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
BB
Benjamin Brahmer o29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 31.1122 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
PK
Parker Kingston u52.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 51.0857 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
BB
Bear Bachmeier u53.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 42.078 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
BYU vs ISU Consensus Picks
More Consensus Consensus PicksBYU vs ISU Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
LJ Martin Rushing Yards Props • BYU
L. Martin
running back RB • BYU
Carson Hansen Rushing Yards Props • Iowa State
C. Hansen
running back RB • Iowa State
Rocco Becht Rushing Yards Props • Iowa State
R. Becht
quarterback QB • Iowa State
BYU vs ISU Trends
BYU Trends
BYU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
BYU
ISU
BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Over
Under
BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
BYU
ISU
BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 1% ROI)
BYU
ISU
BYU has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.80 Units / -39% ROI)
Over
Under
BYU has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.95 Units / -48% ROI)
BYU has only hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-1.70 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under
BYU has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-1.20 Units / -8% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State Trends
Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
BYU
ISU
Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
BYU
ISU
Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
BYU
ISU
Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)
BYU
ISU
Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 14 games (-5.35 Units / -33% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.15 Units / -25% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State has only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 6 games at home (-2.40 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Iowa State has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 7 games (-1.50 Units / -19% ROI)
Iowa State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 14 games (-0.45 Units / -3% ROI)
BYU
ISU
