NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 14, 2026

Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Sat, Mar 14 • 1:00 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Ben Saraf logo
Ben Saraf u8.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 6.39 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -125 DraftKings
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u8.5  -125
 -
u7.5  +100
 -
u7.5  -102
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (11.3).. The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nets.. The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).
-125 at DraftKings
Points Scored
Noah Clowney logo
Noah Clowney o11.5 Points Scored (-128)
Projection 14.42 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -123 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o11.5  -123
o12.5  -120
o12.5  -120
o12.5  -110
o12.5  -112
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have shot 45.6% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making this a positive matchup.. The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Nets.
-123 at DraftKings
View 7 Picks
Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL @ Atlanta Hawks logo ATL Sat, Mar 14 • 3:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Zaccharie Risacher logo
Zaccharie Risacher o8.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 10.37 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -120 FanDuel
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -124
o9.5  -112
o8.5  -120
o9.5  -120
o8.5  -129
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.. The 2nd-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
-120 at FanDuel
Total Rebounds
CJ McCollum logo
CJ McCollum o3.5 Total Rebounds (+120)
Projection 4.18 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +120 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o3.5  +114
o3.5  -105
o3.5  +118
o3.5  +120
o3.5  +114
The 2nd-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
+120 at BetMGM
View 2 Picks
Charlotte Hornets logo CHA @ San Antonio Spurs logo SA Sat, Mar 14 • 3:30 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
De'Aaron Fox logo
De'Aaron Fox o16.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 19.37 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.0 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o16.5  -121
o16.5  -112
o16.5  -132
o16.0  -115
o16.5  -121
De'Aaron Fox has logged 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's logged over the course of the year.. In terms of offense, the Spurs's exceptional 122.4 points per game places most in the league over the last 20 games.. The 9th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
-115 at BetMGM
Points Scored
Miles Bridges logo
Miles Bridges o13.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 15.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.0 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  +105
o13.5  -115
o14.5  +104
o13.0  -118
o13.5  -125
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should increase plays for the Charlotte Hornets.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
-118 at BetMGM
View 5 Picks
Washington Wizards logo WAS @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Sat, Mar 14 • 6:00 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Neemias Queta logo
Neemias Queta o9.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 11.76 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o10.5  -101
o9.5  -110
o10.5  -102
o9.5  -135
o10.5  -105
The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Celtics.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 4th-best in in the league while at home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
-110 at bet365
Points Scored
Trae Young logo
Trae Young o12.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 14.74 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o13.5  -106
o12.5  -105
o13.5  +102
o14.5  +115
o13.5  -113
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (most in the NBA) against the Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.. The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Washington Wizards.. The Wizards check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
-105 at bet365
View 6 Picks
Orlando Magic logo ORL @ Miami Heat logo MIA Sat, Mar 14 • 8:00 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
KW
Kel'el Ware u12.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 9.87 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 -104 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u12.5  -104
 -
u12.5  -114
 -
u12.5  -120
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted 15.1 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, making this a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.. The matchup vs. Orlando may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are on the road (3rd-least in the NBA).
-104 at DraftKings
Points Scored
Jaime Jaquez Jr. logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr. u15.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 13.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u15.5 -112 FanDuel
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u14.5  +100
u15.5  -120
u15.5  -112
u15.5  -125
u15.5  -117
View 7 Picks
Denver Nuggets logo DEN @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Sat, Mar 14 • 8:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo
Cameron Johnson o9.5 Points Scored (-113)
Projection 12.41 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -113 FanDuel
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o10.5  -109
o10.5  -110
o9.5  -113
o10.5  -110
o10.5  -108
With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 122.7 points per game on the road measures as the best in the league this year.. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making this a favorable matchup.. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
-113 at FanDuel
Points Scored
LeBron James logo
LeBron James o19.5 Points Scored (+102)
Projection 21.29 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -117
o18.5  -112
o19.5  +102
o18.5  -118
o18.5  -128
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a strong matchup.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
-112 at bet365
View 4 Picks
Sacramento Kings logo SAC @ LA Clippers logo LAC Sat, Mar 14 • 10:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Precious Achiuwa logo
Precious Achiuwa o8.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 12.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -123 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -123
o9.5  -115
o8.5  -125
o9.5  -120
o8.5  -137
Precious Achiuwa has tallied 15.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.. The Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Clippers have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 2nd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.. This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.1 free throws per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Clippers, easily managing to draw fouls.
-123 at DraftKings
Points Scored
Brook Lopez logo
Brook Lopez o9.5 Points Scored (-106)
Projection 10.93 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -106 FanDuel
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o9.5  -113
o9.5  -125
o9.5  -106
o9.5  -130
o9.5  -132
Brook Lopez has totaled 12.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's totaled in all games this season.. With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's excellent 42.1% rate of successful threes while at home ranks 2nd-best in the league over the last 5 games.. The 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.. The Kings have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Clippers.
-106 at FanDuel
View 4 Picks

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