NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 3, 2026

Washington Wizards logo WAS @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Bilal Coulibaly logo
Bilal Coulibaly u10.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 9 (Under)
Best Odds
u10.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u10.5  -112
u10.5  -118
 -
u10.5  -117
In terms of offense, the Wizards's lackluster 110.1 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.. The Wizards will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Desmond Bane logo
Desmond Bane o19.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 22.23 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -125 bet365
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o21.5  -105
o19.5  -125
o21.5  -102
 -
 -
Desmond Bane has logged 25.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's logged overall this year.. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have scored 15.7 points per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.. The Wizards have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Orlando Magic.. When it comes to drawing fouls, the Orlando Magic's excellent 28.4 free throw attempts per game at home ranks best in the league this year.. The matchup against Washington may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Washington Wizards are away from home (7th-most in the NBA).
-125 at bet365
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Dallas Mavericks logo DAL @ Charlotte Hornets logo CHA Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Rebounds
P.J. Washington logo
P.J. Washington o5.5 Total Rebounds (+118)
Projection 6.22 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -150 bet365
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o5.5  +118
o4.5  -150
o5.5  +114
o4.5  -155
o5.5  +115
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
-150 at bet365
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Detroit Pistons logo DET @ Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Pistons logo Cleveland Cavaliers logo u227.5 (-115)
Best Odds
u227.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
u225.5  -110
u226.5  -110
u227.5  -114
u226.5  -110
u226.5  -110

Cleveland will lean on its own elite defense to compete. These head-to-head battles usually turn into low-scoring wars, which is why the Under is the play tonight.

Points Scored
JT
Jaylon Tyson u12.5 Points Scored (+101)
Projection 11.55 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -136 FanDuel
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u12.5  +100
u12.5  +105
u13.5  -136
u12.5  -110
u12.5  -105
View 3 Picks
Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Miami Heat logo MIA Tue, Mar 3 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Michael Porter Jr. logo
Michael Porter Jr. u23.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 21.23 (Under)
Best Odds
u23.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u23.5  -121
u23.5  -120
u23.5  -128
u22.5  -115
u23.5  -121
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nets.. The Nets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
-120 at bet365
Total Rebounds
Nic Claxton logo
Nic Claxton o6.5 Total Rebounds (+116)
Projection 7.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 +116 FanDuel
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o6.5  +109
o6.5  +105
o6.5  +116
o6.5  +105
o6.5  -105
The Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost plays for the Brooklyn Nets.
+116 at FanDuel
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New York Knicks logo NY @ Toronto Raptors logo TOR Tue, Mar 3 • 7:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
MoneyLine
New York Knicks logo NY (-126)
Best Odds
 -142 FanDuel
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
 -148
 -150
 -142
 -150
 -150

The New York Knicks have beaten the Raptors in all three meetings so far this season, and this one will end the same way. The Knicks have too much depth and scoring punch for the Raptors to overcome. They are playing some good basketball right now, winning four of their last five games. Take the team that feels like a true contender in this spot. 

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Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM @ Minnesota Timberwolves logo MIN Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Ty Jerome logo
Ty Jerome u17.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 15.12 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u17.5  -122
u17.5  -112
u17.5  -130
 -
u17.5  -124
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Anthony Edwards logo
Anthony Edwards u30.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 28.01 (Under)
Best Odds
u30.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u30.5  -119
u30.5  -105
u30.5  -118
 -
u30.5  -118
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 buckets per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, marking this as a hard matchup.. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
-105 at bet365
View 3 Picks
San Antonio Spurs logo SA @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists
Luke Kornet logo Luke Kornet o11.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120)
Best Odds
o11.5 -125 bet365
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst
 -
o11.5  -125
 -
 -
 -

The Philadelphia 76ers’ interior defense will be exposed again with Joel Embiid on the sideline. The team’s defensive rating without Embiid is a dreadful 117.1 this season. Philly surrendered 114 points, 59 total rebounds and a whopping 19 offensive boards in Sunday’s blowout loss to the Boston Celtics.

Kornet is averaging a career-best 15.5 PRA, and he’s gone for 12+ in 38 of 50 games overall, including six of his last nine. This line is wildly mispriced, and Kornet could see additional run if San Antonio runs away with the game in this favorable matchup.

Points Scored
Andre Drummond logo
Andre Drummond o7.5 Points Scored (+103)
Projection 9.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -136 FanDuel
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  +103
o7.5  -110
o6.5  -136
o9.5  +190
o7.5  -103
The 76ers will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
-136 at FanDuel
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Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ Chicago Bulls logo CHI Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC -10.5 (-105)
Best Odds
-10.5 -105 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
-10.5  -105
-10.5  -105
-10.5  -110
-10.5  -105
-10.5  -105

OKC boasts the league’s No. 1 Defensive Rating and covers 57% of their road games. Facing a "tanking" Bulls “G-League” roster, the Thunder’s elite defensive efficiency and transition offense should pull away for a double-digit cover.

Points Scored
Matas Buzelis logo
Matas Buzelis o15.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 17.94 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -190 BetMGM
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -111
o16.5  -110
o15.5  -104
o14.5  -190
o15.5  -115
Matas Buzelis has averaged 20.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.. The Bulls have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 14 games as the home team.. The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bulls.. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to get to the foul line.
-190 at BetMGM
View 7 Picks
New Orleans Pelicans logo NO @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Tue, Mar 3 • 10:30 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Deandre Ayton logo
Deandre Ayton o8.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 10.99 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -130 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o9.5  -103
o8.5  -130
o9.5  +102
o9.5  -160
o9.5  -121
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
-130 at bet365
Points Scored
Austin Reaves logo
Austin Reaves o18.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 20.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -123
o18.5  +100
o18.5  -132
o19.5  -110
o18.5  -127
In comparison to last season's 20.0 rate, Austin Reaves's points per game have risen this season to 24.1.. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
+100 at bet365
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Phoenix Suns logo PHO @ Sacramento Kings logo SAC Tue, Mar 3 • 11:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
DeMar DeRozan logo
DeMar DeRozan o11.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 14.33 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -125 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -106
o11.5  -125
o12.5  -110
o11.5  -130
o12.5  -110
The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.1%).. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
-125 at bet365
Points Scored
Mark Williams logo
Mark Williams o9.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 10.93 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -120 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o9.5  -124
o9.5  +100
o9.5  -128
o8.5  -120
o9.5  -145
The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).. The Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
-120 at BetMGM
View 4 Picks

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