NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 5, 2026

Dallas Mavericks logo DAL @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Thu, Mar 5 • 7:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Naji Marshall logo
Naji Marshall u16.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 13.77 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u16.5  -114
u16.5  -105
u16.5  -114
 -
u16.5  -112
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league away from home with just 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
-105 at bet365
Total Rebounds
Jalen Suggs logo
Jalen Suggs o3.5 Total Rebounds (+106)
Projection 4.18 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +106 DraftKings
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o3.5  +106
o3.5  -105
o3.5  +104
 -
o3.5  +105
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Orlando Magic.
+106 at DraftKings
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Utah Jazz logo UTA @ Washington Wizards logo WAS Thu, Mar 5 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Bilal Coulibaly logo
Bilal Coulibaly u12.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 11.27 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u12.5  -116
u12.5  -105
u12.5  -130
 -
u12.5  -121
The Wizards check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup against Utah is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz are on the road (least in the league).
-105 at bet365
View Pick
Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Miami Heat logo MIA Thu, Mar 5 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Bam Adebayo logo
Bam Adebayo u20.5 Points Scored (-101)
Projection 18.73 (Under)
Best Odds
u20.5 -101 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u20.5  -101
u20.5  -120
u20.5  -120
 -
u20.5  -112
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
-101 at DraftKings
Total Rebounds
Bam Adebayo logo
Bam Adebayo u10.5 Total Rebounds (-112)
Projection 9.36 (Under)
Best Odds
u10.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u10.5  -135
u10.5  -112
u9.5  +108
 -
u10.5  -141
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
-112 at bet365
View 3 Picks
Golden State Warriors logo GS @ Houston Rockets logo HOU Thu, Mar 5 • 7:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
De'Anthony Melton logo
De'Anthony Melton u15.5 Points Scored (-113)
Projection 13.56 (Under)
Best Odds
u15.5 -113 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u15.5  -113
u15.5  -115
u15.5  -128
 -
u15.5  -120
The Warriors check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.. The matchup vs. Houston is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (24.8%).. The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
-113 at DraftKings
Points Scored
RS
Reed Sheppard u13.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 12.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 +100 DraftKings
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u13.5  +100
u13.5  -112
 -
 -
u13.5  +100
The Houston Rockets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league at home this year in terms of three-point attempts.. The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
+100 at DraftKings
View 4 Picks
Chicago Bulls logo CHI @ Phoenix Suns logo PHO Thu, Mar 5 • 9:00 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Tre Jones logo
Tre Jones u14.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 10.86 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u14.5  -120
 -
 -
 -
The Chicago Bulls will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).. The Bulls rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
-120 at bet365
Points Scored
OI
Oso Ighodaro o7.5 Points Scored (-135)
Projection 11.89 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -135 bet365
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -116
o7.5  -135
o8.5  -132
 -
o8.5  -130
The Bulls have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Suns.. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
-135 at bet365
View 5 Picks
New Orleans Pelicans logo NO @ Sacramento Kings logo SAC Thu, Mar 5 • 10:00 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
DeMar DeRozan logo
DeMar DeRozan o14.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 17.17 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -110
o14.5  -105
o14.5  -111
 -
o14.5  -139
The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Sacramento Kings.. The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).. The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are on the road (8th-most in the league).
-105 at bet365
Points Scored
Saddiq Bey logo
Saddiq Bey u21.5 Points Scored (-116)
Projection 18.94 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u21.5  -116
u21.5  -112
u21.5  -130
 -
u21.5  -120
The Pelicans check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
-112 at bet365
View 5 Picks
Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL @ Denver Nuggets logo DEN Thu, Mar 5 • 10:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
MoneyLine
Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL (+125)
Best Odds
 +170 bet365
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
 +164
 +170
 +166
 +165
 +162

The Lakers have prevailed in three of their last four games against the Nuggets, and with Denver still missing power forward Aaron Gordon, I like L.A. to grind out a win at Ball Arena.

Points Scored
Julian Strawther logo
Julian Strawther o7.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 9.65 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -104
o7.5  -115
o8.5  -122
 -
o8.5  -115
Julian Strawther has averaged 12.2 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season.. In terms of shooting, the Nuggets's fantastic 120.5 points per game settles in as the most in the league this year.. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a good matchup.
-115 at bet365
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