Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game June 5, 2026
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Fri, Jun 5 • 8:30 PM ET
Under on Brunson points but Over on his 3-pointers. WTF? Before you screen shoot and blast me on X, hear me out. HEAR ME OUT DAMN IT!
San Antonio was doing a solid job pushing Brunson to the perimeter through three quarters, leaving him to go 1 for 8 from distance before the final frame. I expect those long-range looks to be there again in Game 2, especially considering the game script.
Everything else is going to tougher to come by. All the Game 2 models have Brunson coming up short of 26 points but listed his 3-point makes right on the 2.5 O/U total.
We’ve seen Brunson switch from go-to-scorer to playmaker when foes bring extra pressure. In the five games in which he failed to score at least 26 points, he’s dished out an average 7.2 dimes (and played limited minutes in two of those due to blowouts). His projections for tonight bound between 6.5 and 7+ assists.
Jalen Brunson u25.5 Points Scored (-112)
Brunson rose to the occasion, despite a scary knee injury in the first half, but didn’t do it all by himself. The Spurs sparked his fourth quarter crescendo with sloppy play and bad rebounding. Cleaning up turnovers and focusing on the defensive glass are two missions written in big letters on San Antonio’s whiteboard ahead of Game 2, as is keeping Brunson out of the paint (16 of his 30 points came inside the key). Expect Victor Wembanyama to stay closer to the rim tonight. Game 2 projections all sit short of 26 points for Brunson, with my number coming out just north of 24 points. That should have the Under 25.5 priced at -140 rather than -112. There’s no quit in the Knicks but if the Spurs do break away late and Brunson’s knee is wonky, Mike Brown could protect his superstar and be happy with a split in San Antonio and the series heading to New York.
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