Orlando @ Memphis Picks & Props
ORL vs MEM Picks
NBA Picks
Spread
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
With their win in Berlin, Orlando improved to 4-2-0 against the spread against Memphis in their last six head-to-head matchups. Even with Morant back in the lineup, I don’t see how the star pairing of Franz Wagner and Paolo Banchero squanders this opportunity to end their Euro trip with a win.
Spread
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Total
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both the Orlando Magic and Memphis Grizzlies have injury concerns. After Thursday’s high-scoring affair in Berlin, expect defensive adjustments and heavy legs to dominate. This inflated line provides a massive cushion for a sluggish and international rematch that is 4-6-0 to the Under in their previous 10 meetings.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Total Assists
JW
Jaylen Wells o1.5 Total Assists (+170)
Projection 1.64 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
ORL vs MEM Consensus Picks
42% picking Orlando vs Memphis to go Under
Total PicksORL 198, MEM 144
Total
Over
Under
ORL vs MEM Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Jock Landale
(C)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
24.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o18.5 Points Scored
20.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
20.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Franz Wagner
(SF)
o18.5 Points Scored
20.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
17.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Cedric Coward
(SG)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
16.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u8.5 Points Scored
7.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
16.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
12.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
o22.5 Points Scored
23.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Desmond Bane
(SG)
o18.5 Points Scored
19.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
4.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Anthony Black
(PG)
u16.5 Points Scored
15.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u11.5 Points Scored
11.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Santi Aldama
(PF)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-2.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ja Morant
(PG)
o17.5 Points Scored
17.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Cedric Coward
(SG)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
16.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u8.5 Total Rebounds
8.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
7.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
11.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ja Morant
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Anthony Black
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Desmond Bane
(SG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-0.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Santi Aldama
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Franz Wagner
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jock Landale
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Santi Aldama
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Desmond Bane
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Cedric Coward
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Ja Morant
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Franz Wagner
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jock Landale
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Anthony Black
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jock Landale
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
27.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
20.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ja Morant
(PG)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Anthony Black
(PG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Santi Aldama
(PF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Franz Wagner
(SF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Cedric Coward
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Desmond Bane
(SG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.57%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
Jock Landale
(C)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
24.51%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o18.5 Points Scored
20.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
20.28%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Franz Wagner
(SF)
o18.5 Points Scored
20.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
17.76%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Cedric Coward
(SG)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
16.08%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u8.5 Points Scored
7.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
16.08%
EV
POINTS SCORED
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
12.59%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
o22.5 Points Scored
23.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.97%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Desmond Bane
(SG)
o18.5 Points Scored
19.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
4.83%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Anthony Black
(PG)
u16.5 Points Scored
15.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.57%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u11.5 Points Scored
11.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.16%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Santi Aldama
(PF)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-2.16%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Ja Morant
(PG)
o17.5 Points Scored
17.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.15%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Cedric Coward
(SG)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
16.72%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.77%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u8.5 Total Rebounds
8.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.3%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
7.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
11.57%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.88%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ja Morant
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.53%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Anthony Black
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.62%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Desmond Bane
(SG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-0.09%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Santi Aldama
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.93%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Franz Wagner
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.95%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jock Landale
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.48%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.71%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.36%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.37%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Santi Aldama
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.36%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.78%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Desmond Bane
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.62%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Cedric Coward
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.91%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Ja Morant
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.95%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.99%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Franz Wagner
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.53%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jock Landale
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.3%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Anthony Black
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jock Landale
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
27.22%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
JW
Jaylen Wells
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
20.6%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ja Morant
(PG)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.08%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Anthony Black
(PG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.71%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Santi Aldama
(PF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.88%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Td
Tristan da Silva
(SF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.42%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.04%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.77%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Franz Wagner
(SF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.84%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.62%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Cedric Coward
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.22%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Desmond Bane
(SG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.57%
EV
ORL vs MEM Trends
Over
Under
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MEM
ORL
MEM
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Under
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MEM
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Under
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Under
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ORL vs MEM Top User Picks
Orlando Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRS | 6-4-0 | +12450 |
| 2 | sandhog1 | 7-3-0 | +10000 |
| 3 | CHEOAPONTE | 6-4-0 | +9850 |
| 4 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 7-3-0 | +9650 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 5-5-0 | +9350 |
| 6 | fadepublic14 | 8-2-0 | +9090 |
| 7 | mjpalli | 4-6-0 | +8850 |
| 8 | greenhouse12 | 4-6-0 | +8800 |
| 9 | PAS13 | 6-4-0 | +8800 |
| 10 | Aleana2000 | 5-5-0 | +8300 |
| All Magic Money Leaders | |||
Memphis Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | thehole007 | 8-2-0 | +13740 |
| 2 | Mod2323 | 6-4-0 | +11750 |
| 3 | CastlemontDB91 | 5-5-0 | +10100 |
| 4 | kingjames5 | 6-4-0 | +9500 |
| 5 | campellnyr917 | 4-6-0 | +9050 |
| 6 | saintnation | 8-2-0 | +8750 |
| 7 | peacy454 | 8-2-0 | +8700 |
| 8 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +8350 |
| 9 | plastikman200 | 8-2-0 | +8000 |
| 10 | rougher | 6-4-0 | +7950 |
| All Grizzlies Money Leaders | |||