NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 21, 2026

Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ Washington Wizards logo WAS Sat, Mar 21 • 5:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Luguentz Dort logo
Luguentz Dort o6.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 8.66 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  -105
o6.5  -112
o7.5  +102
 -
o7.5  -106
o6.5  -125
In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's fantastic 118.9 points per game away from home ranks 4th-strongest in the league this year.. The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for scoring; when the Wizards are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 4th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%).. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).. The matchup against the Wizards is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.2 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the league).
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Chet Holmgren logo
Chet Holmgren o14.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 16.91 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -125
o14.5  -112
o14.5  -130
 -
o14.5  -143
o14.5  -115
In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's fantastic 118.9 points per game away from home ranks 4th-strongest in the league this year.. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 14.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, branding this as a favorable matchup.. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).. The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).
-112 at bet365
View 4 Picks
Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Sat, Mar 21 • 7:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Austin Reaves logo
Austin Reaves o19.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 22.71 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -125 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o20.5  -112
o20.5  -120
o19.5  -125
 -
o20.5  -109
o20.5  -105
Austin Reaves has registered a whopping 23.5 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 20.0 points per game last year.. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. the Magic is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8).. The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.. The matchup against the Magic may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (most in the league).
-125 at FanDuel
Total Rebounds
Deandre Ayton logo
Deandre Ayton o7.5 Total Rebounds (-113)
Projection 9.27 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -113 FanDuel
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  -121
o7.5  -130
o7.5  -113
 -
o7.5  -137
o7.5  -115
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
-113 at FanDuel
View 4 Picks
Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM @ Charlotte Hornets logo CHA Sat, Mar 21 • 7:00 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
GG Jackson logo
GG Jackson u15.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 12.87 (Under)
Best Odds
u15.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u14.5  -124
u15.5  -112
u14.5  -104
 -
u14.5  -112
u14.5  -110
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Hornets).. As a team, the Grizzlies have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls as the visting team: 9th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 22.0 free throws per game.. The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Olivier-Maxence Prosper logo
Olivier-Maxence Prosper u12.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 10.01 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 -125 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u10.5  -102
u12.5  -125
u11.5  -118
 -
u11.5  -117
 -
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Hornets).. As a team, the Grizzlies have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls as the visting team: 9th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 22.0 free throws per game.
-125 at bet365
View 5 Picks
Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE @ New Orleans Pelicans logo NO Sat, Mar 21 • 7:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Assists
Zion Williamson logo
Zion Williamson o2.5 Total Assists (-115)
Projection 4.07 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o2.5  -151
o2.5  -115
o2.5  -154
 -
o3.5  +140
o2.5  -165
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
-115 at bet365
Total Assists
Evan Mobley logo
Evan Mobley o2.5 Total Assists (+110)
Projection 3.12 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o2.5  -109
o2.5  +110
o2.5  -114
 -
o2.5  -127
o2.5  -115
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Cavaliers.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 8th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
+110 at bet365
View 2 Picks
Miami Heat logo MIA @ Houston Rockets logo HOU Sat, Mar 21 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Total
Miami Heat logo Houston Rockets logo u229.5 (-110)
Best Odds
u229.5 -110 DraftKings
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
u229.5  -110
u229.5  -110
u228.5  -106
u229.5  -110
u229.5  -110
u229.5  -110

The Under has cashed in three straight Heat vs Rockets matchups.

Points Scored
Davion Mitchell logo
Davion Mitchell u9.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 8.17 (Under)
Best Odds
u9.5 -125 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u9.5  -125
u8.5  -120
u8.5  -104
 -
u8.5  +110
u8.5  +100
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).. The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets).. The matchup against Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are at home (least in the NBA).
-125 at DraftKings
View 3 Picks
Indiana Pacers logo IND @ San Antonio Spurs logo SA Sat, Mar 21 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Total
Indiana Pacers logo San Antonio Spurs logo u233.0 (-110)
Best Odds
u233.5 -110 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
u233.5  -110
u233.0  -110
u233.5  -110
u233.5  -110
u233.0  -110
u233.5  -110

The Spurs have allowed just 105.3 points over their 4-game win streak, with opponents shooting just 42.9% from the field.

Points Scored
Aaron Nesmith logo
Aaron Nesmith u14.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 11.07 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u14.5  -126
u14.5  -120
u13.5  -102
 -
u14.5  -124
u14.5  -125
The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
-120 at bet365
View 3 Picks
Golden State Warriors logo GS @ Atlanta Hawks logo ATL Sat, Mar 21 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Rebounds and Assists
Jalen Johnson logo Jalen Johnson o18.5 Rebounds and Assists (+100)
Best Odds
o17.5 -104 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
o17.5  -126
o17.5  -125
o17.5  -104
 -
o17.5  -118
o17.5  -115

Jalen Johnson is averaging career highs in rebounds (10.5) and assists (8.1), hitting Over 18.5 on that combo in three of his last four games.

Golden State ranks near the bottom of the league in rebounding (22nd) while Atlanta is averaging 91.9 field goal attempts per game (2nd), leaving plenty of boards for Johnson.

Points Scored
Will Richard logo
Will Richard o7.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 10.36 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  -117
o7.5  -112
o7.5  -118
 -
o7.5  -121
o7.5  -115
The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (13.6).. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Atlanta Hawks are at home (3rd-most in the NBA).
-112 at bet365
View 7 Picks
LA Clippers logo LAC @ Dallas Mavericks logo DAL Sat, Mar 21 • 8:30 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Ryan Nembhard logo
Ryan Nembhard o7.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 8.89 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -112 FanDuel
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  -127
 -
o7.5  -112
 -
 -
 -
The Mavericks rank as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home.. The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goals; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 7th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.6%).. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
-112 at FanDuel
View Pick
Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI @ Utah Jazz logo UTA Sat, Mar 21 • 9:30 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Quentin Grimes logo
Quentin Grimes u22.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 19.72 (Under)
Best Odds
u22.5 -102 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u22.5  -110
u21.5  -112
u22.5  -102
 -
u22.5  -110
u22.5  -115
The Jazz have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the 76ers rank 10thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
-102 at FanDuel
Total Rebounds
AB
Adem Bona u6.5 Total Rebounds (-105)
Projection 5.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u6.5  -135
u6.5  -105
u6.5  -154
 -
u6.5  -141
u6.5  -145
The Jazz have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the 76ers rank 10thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
-105 at bet365
View 5 Picks
Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL @ Phoenix Suns logo PHO Sat, Mar 21 • 10:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Myles Turner logo
Myles Turner o8.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 10.85 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -102 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -128
o8.5  -112
o8.5  -102
 -
o8.5  -114
o8.5  -110
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.. The 6th-quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
-102 at FanDuel
Points Scored
Devin Booker logo
Devin Booker o27.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 30.35 (Over)
Best Odds
o27.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o28.5  -105
o27.5  -120
o27.5  -114
 -
o27.5  -122
o27.5  -115
Devin Booker has registered 34.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.4 more than he's registered in all games this season.. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 43.5% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.. The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Phoenix Suns.. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA while at home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).
-114 at FanDuel
View 4 Picks

What are Covers’ NBA Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ NBA analysts have over 25 years of experience making smart basketball picks from the season’s opening tip to the NBA Finals.

We find the best NBA odds and share our picks and NBA best bets for the biggest games of the basketball season — right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their NBA betting

Free NBA Expert Picks

Making smart NBA picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert NBA picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Free NBA Point Spread Picks

NBA point spreads even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even pick as possible. Our analysts research stats, matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best edge possible before making your NBA point spread bet.

Free NBA Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make NBA Over/Under picks throughout the basketball season. Betting on NBA Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total score of a game will be Over or Under a specific total set by oddsmakers.

Free NBA Moneyline Picks

Betting on the NBA moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the spread, or a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value NBA moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free NBA Prop Picks

There’s always value in NBA props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From player points to total threes made, expect well-researched NBA prop picks from Covers.

NBA Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus NBA picks highlight the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free NBA contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Basketball Betting Site

If you’re ready to bet on NBA picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best NBA betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

NBA Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NBA picks?

Covers NBA picks generally release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of NBA picks do we make?

Covers provides free NBA picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.