Texas Rangers

2nd in American League West (75 - 76)

Next Game

Wed, Sep 16 20:05 ET

BOS @ TEX Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Jake Burger logo Jake Burger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Burger has hit 12 of his 26 homers against lefties with a monster .304 ISO, and Boston starter Jake Bennett has served up a healthy .222 ISO and 17.7% blast-contact rate to right-handed batters across his past 10 starts.

Total
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail o7.5 (-128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This total is too low, and I’d recommend the Over 7.5 to 57%. Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, the Rangers are seventh in overall wOBA, second in ISO and 12th in xwOBA over the past 30 days. Similarly, Boston ranks fifth in wOBA against lefties for the year, and both starters have been more serviceable than stellar down the stretch. Rangers lefty MacKenzie Gore sports a 4.61 ERA (4.12 xERA and 4.33 xFIP) across his past 11 starts, and Red Sox southpaw Jake Bennett checks in with a 4.55 ERA (4.00 xERA and 3.95 xFIP) through his past 10 outings.

 

Moneyline
Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I handicap this game as a near toss up, so I’ll back the Rangers moneyline to 54% because they are in the superior current form. Not only does Texas rank fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, the Rangers are seventh in overall wOBA, second in ISO and 12th in xwOBA over the past 30 days. The Red Sox, meanwhile, have seen their numbers drop to a 20th-ranked wOBA, 18th-ranked ISO, and 18th-ranked xwOBA in September. Plus, Texas starter MacKenzie Gore probably has a splash of statistical correction coming. His 4.61 ERA over his past 11 starts is well above his 4.12 xERA and 4.33 xFIP.

 

Strikeouts Thrown
MacKenzie Gore logo MacKenzie Gore u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+117)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Rangers have to make a quick decision with MacKenzie Gore today as they sit two games back of the final wild-card spot with a dozen games to go. Gore is approaching a career-high in innings pitched and has gone 76 and 68 pitches over his last two starts as he stumbles toward the finish line. The command has been an issue, with 14 walks over his last 16 innings against just 11 Ks, and it has caught up to him with nine runs allowed over his last two starts, which lasted a combined 21 outs with three total punchouts. The projections like his Over here, but I'm not expecting that projected 91-pitch leash. I have this priced a little better than a coin flip, as that pitch leash has a wide range of outcomes and the projections are the ceiling. The Rangers have all their long relievers available and will be on standby with everything on the line.

Total Hits
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Justin Foscue logo
Justin Foscue o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.
Total Bases
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen u1.5 Total Bases (-300)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Danny Jansen's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Danny Jansen is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
Strikeouts Thrown
MacKenzie Gore logo
MacKenzie Gore o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Projection 5.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts MacKenzie Gore in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.. MacKenzie Gore has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 90th percentile.. The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Roman Anthony, Jahmai Jones, Trevor Story).. Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.
Total RBIs
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+303)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

58% picking Boston

58%
42%

Total PicksBOS 203, TEX 148

Moneyline
BOS
TEX
Moneyline
Total

67% picking Boston vs Texas to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksBOS 182, TEX 88

Total
Over
Under

BOS @ TEX · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail
Under 8.0 Total
8.12 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail
Under 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.12 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.61% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u8.5 -130
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
TEX -1.5 spread
0.16 PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
TEX -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 +160
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.69% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nate Eaton ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nate Eaton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 11.9%.. Josh Jung's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.79 ft/sec now.

u0.5 +215
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Corey Seager encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Corey Seager's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Foscue in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Justin Foscue has been pulled from the game early 54% of the time.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willson Contreras in today's matchup.

u0.5 +145
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 90.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Danny Jansen's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Danny Jansen is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. 16% of the time that Elias Diaz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.17% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Roman Anthony has recorded a .368 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

o0.5 -190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilyer Abreu today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.82% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .322, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

o0.5 -205
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.

o1.5 +185
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.

u1.5 -175
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.

o1.5 +143
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Danny Jansen's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Danny Jansen is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

u1.5 -190
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. 16% of the time that Elias Diaz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.56 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.38% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nate Eaton ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nate Eaton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

o1.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Willson Contreras projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.

o1.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.14% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +155
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Trevor Story's launch angle of late (25° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal figure.. Trevor Story has been unlucky this year, notching a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .038 discrepancy.

o1.5 +180
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o1.5 +170
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +145
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .322, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

o1.5 +155
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22.2%.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u1.5 -180
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

o0.5 +750
Caesars logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Roman Anthony encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Roman Anthony hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Roman Anthony today.

u0.5 -750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u0.5 -850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. 16% of the time that Elias Diaz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -2200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Corey Seager encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 11.9%.. Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Jung has been lucky given the .024 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

u0.5 -950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willson Contreras in today's matchup.. Willson Contreras has been lucky this year, posting a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .361 — a .027 discrepancy.

u0.5 -550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game.. Adley Rutschman has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 -1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilyer Abreu today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wilyer Abreu today.

u0.5 -650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o0.5 +550
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jahmai Jones in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jahmai Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Sporting a .369 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jahmai Jones grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

o0.5 +525
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 15.4% on the season to 22.2% in the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .322, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

o0.5 +525
BetRivers logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.53% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts MacKenzie Gore in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.. MacKenzie Gore has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 90th percentile.. The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Roman Anthony, Jahmai Jones, Trevor Story).. Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

o4.5 -145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jake Bennett logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Bennett (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jake Bennett logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Bennett (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.. Adley Rutschman, the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

o3.5 -200
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.

o0.5 +188
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

o0.5 +303
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.49% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Trevor Story's launch angle of late (25° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today.. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 42.8% on the season to 64.7% over the last week.

o0.5 +312
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

o0.5 +212
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +214
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Willson Contreras projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.

o0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.35% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Brandon Nimmo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.6% to 48.3% this season.

o0.5 +229
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o0.5 +221
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jahmai Jones in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jahmai Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Sporting a .369 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jahmai Jones grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22.2%.

o0.5 +199
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.83% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Nick Sogard will get to bat from his strong side against MacKenzie Gore in this game.. Nick Sogard has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 89.8-mph in the past week.. Nick Sogard has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last season's 83.7-mph EV.. In the past 14 days, Nick Sogard's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

o0.5 +298
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.. Elias Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 95.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nate Eaton ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nate Eaton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 -350
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.59% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Caleb Durbin will have the upper hand today.. Caleb Durbin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the last week.. Caleb Durbin's launch angle of late (31.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12° seasonal angle.. When it comes to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.

o1.5 -103
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.25% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 -105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

o1.5 -107
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Trevor Story's launch angle of late (25° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Willson Contreras projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.

o1.5 +104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

o1.5 +175
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 -118
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o1.5 +116
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Brandon Nimmo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.6% to 48.3% this season.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22.2%.

o1.5 +100
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u1.5 -130
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.

u1.5 -165
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.34% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.. Elias Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 95.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +158
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Caleb Durbin will have the upper hand today.. Caleb Durbin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the last week.. Caleb Durbin's launch angle of late (31.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12° seasonal angle.. When it comes to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -165
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-20.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-20.89% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's game.. Nate Eaton has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (80.7 mph) rank him as one of MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.. Nate Eaton ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year, Nate Eaton is remarkably toolsy.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail
Under 8.0 Total
8.12 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail
Under 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.12 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.61% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u8.5 -130
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
TEX -1.5 spread
0.16 PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
TEX -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 +160
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.69% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nate Eaton ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nate Eaton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 11.9%.. Josh Jung's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.79 ft/sec now.

u0.5 +215
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Corey Seager encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Corey Seager's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Foscue in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Justin Foscue has been pulled from the game early 54% of the time.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willson Contreras in today's matchup.

u0.5 +145
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 90.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Danny Jansen's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Danny Jansen is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. 16% of the time that Elias Diaz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.17% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Roman Anthony has recorded a .368 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

o0.5 -190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilyer Abreu today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.82% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .322, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

o0.5 -205
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.

o1.5 +185
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.

u1.5 -175
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.

o1.5 +143
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Danny Jansen's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Danny Jansen is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

u1.5 -190
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. 16% of the time that Elias Diaz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.56 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.38% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nate Eaton ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nate Eaton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

o1.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Willson Contreras projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.

o1.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.14% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +155
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Trevor Story's launch angle of late (25° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal figure.. Trevor Story has been unlucky this year, notching a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .038 discrepancy.

o1.5 +180
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o1.5 +170
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +145
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .322, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

o1.5 +155
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22.2%.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u1.5 -180
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

o0.5 +750
Caesars logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Roman Anthony encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Roman Anthony hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Roman Anthony today.

u0.5 -750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u0.5 -850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. 16% of the time that Elias Diaz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -2200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Jake Bennett throws from, Corey Seager encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 11.9%.. Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Jung has been lucky given the .024 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

u0.5 -950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willson Contreras in today's matchup.. Willson Contreras has been lucky this year, posting a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .361 — a .027 discrepancy.

u0.5 -550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game.. Adley Rutschman has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 -1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilyer Abreu today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wilyer Abreu today.

u0.5 -650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.15 K/BB rate.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o0.5 +550
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jahmai Jones in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jahmai Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Sporting a .369 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jahmai Jones grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

o0.5 +525
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 15.4% on the season to 22.2% in the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .322, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.

o0.5 +525
BetRivers logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.53% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts MacKenzie Gore in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.. MacKenzie Gore has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 90th percentile.. The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Roman Anthony, Jahmai Jones, Trevor Story).. Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

o4.5 -145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jake Bennett logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Bennett (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jake Bennett logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Bennett (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.. Adley Rutschman, the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

o3.5 -200
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.

o0.5 +188
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

o0.5 +303
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.49% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Trevor Story's launch angle of late (25° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today.. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 42.8% on the season to 64.7% over the last week.

o0.5 +312
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

o0.5 +212
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +214
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Willson Contreras projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.

o0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.35% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Brandon Nimmo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.6% to 48.3% this season.

o0.5 +229
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o0.5 +221
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jahmai Jones in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jahmai Jones is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Sporting a .369 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jahmai Jones grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22.2%.

o0.5 +199
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.83% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Nick Sogard will get to bat from his strong side against MacKenzie Gore in this game.. Nick Sogard has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 89.8-mph in the past week.. Nick Sogard has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last season's 83.7-mph EV.. In the past 14 days, Nick Sogard's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

o0.5 +298
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.. Elias Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 95.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nate Eaton ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nate Eaton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

u0.5 -350
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.59% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Caleb Durbin will have the upper hand today.. Caleb Durbin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the last week.. Caleb Durbin's launch angle of late (31.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12° seasonal angle.. When it comes to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.5%.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22% this season.

o1.5 -103
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.25% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last 14 days, Roman Anthony has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 21.2%.. Roman Anthony has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 -105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corey Seager logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
C. Seager (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

o1.5 -107
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Trevor Story's launch angle of late (25° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Willson Contreras logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Contreras (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Willson Contreras projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this season (17.6°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.

o1.5 +104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Danny Jansen logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
D. Jansen (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

o1.5 +175
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Jung logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Jung (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 -118
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 30%.

o1.5 +116
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Justin Foscue will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Justin Foscue grades out in the 89th percentile.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Brandon Nimmo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.6% to 48.3% this season.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22.2%.

o1.5 +100
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u1.5 -130
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jahmai Jones logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Jones (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jahmai Jones in today's matchup.

u1.5 -165
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers image thumbnail
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.34% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bennett in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.. Elias Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 95.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +158
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Caleb Durbin will have the upper hand today.. Caleb Durbin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the last week.. Caleb Durbin's launch angle of late (31.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12° seasonal angle.. When it comes to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -165
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-20.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nate Eaton logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Eaton (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-20.89% EV

ANALYSIS

In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's game.. Nate Eaton has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (80.7 mph) rank him as one of MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.. Nate Eaton ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year, Nate Eaton is remarkably toolsy.

o1.5 +170
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Top User Picks

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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Kozman06' picks Texas at (-112)

Kozman06 is #1 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (65-42-1) and +19645 units on the season.

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'Kozman06' picks Boston vs Texas to go Under (8.0)

Kozman06 is #1 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (65-42-1) and +19645 units on the season.

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'pureporkchop' picks Boston at (-108)

pureporkchop is #2 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (69-65-1) and +17005 units on the season.

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'pureporkchop' picks Boston vs Texas to go Under (8.0)

pureporkchop is #2 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (69-65-1) and +17005 units on the season.

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'Ken_Adams' picks Texas at (-108)

Ken_Adams is #2 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (6-9-0) and +13690 units on the season.

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'Ken_Adams' picks Boston vs Texas to go Over (8.0)

Ken_Adams is #2 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (6-9-0) and +13690 units on the season.

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Under
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'robert78lodz' picks Boston vs Texas to go Over (7.5)

robert78lodz is #4 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (46-39-3) and +12635 units on the season.

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Moneyline

'robert78lodz' picks Texas at (-108)

robert78lodz is #4 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (46-39-3) and +12635 units on the season.

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BOS
TEX
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'Dadam915' picks Texas at (-115)

Dadam915 is #4 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (56-28-0) and +14135 units on the season.

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TEX
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'Dadam915' picks Boston vs Texas to go Under (8.0)

Dadam915 is #4 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (56-28-0) and +14135 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'jnc3lb' picks Texas at (-111)

jnc3lb is #5 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (56-33-4) and +13655 units on the season.

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'jnc3lb' picks Boston vs Texas to go Over (8.0)

jnc3lb is #5 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (56-33-4) and +13655 units on the season.

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