Texas Rangers Picks
2nd in American League West
(16 - 17)
Next Game
Sun, May 3
19:20 ET
TEX @ DET Picks
MLB Picks
Total
o8.0 (-114)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
TEX (+115)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Jung o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-165)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Josh Jung carries an 11-game hitting streak into the series finale, and he’s reached base safely in 22 of his last 23 games. There aren’t many hitters in finer form, so here’s looking to take advantage in the prop market during Sunday Night Baseball.
Total Doubles
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total Doubles (+538)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Kerry Carpenter is a well-known righty-masher who has a career 136 wRC+ against them while hitting for a ton of power (.261 ISO).
Jack Leiter throws one of his three fastball varieties (four-seamer, sinker, cutter) 59% of the time against lefties. Carpenter demolishes all three and likes to sit on heaters, making it a strong matchup.
Runs and RBIs
Josh Jung o0.5 Runs and RBIs (-140)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Texas Rangers third baseman Josh Jung was a man on fire in April with a 1.103 OPS (.381/.448/.655). That hot streak has carried over to May, as he’s 4-for-9 through the first two games of this series. He carries an 11-game hitting streak into the series finale, and he’s reached base safely in 22 of his last 23 games. There aren’t many hitters in finer form, so here’s looking to take advantage in the prop market during Sunday Night Baseball.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Detroit Tigers star outfielder Riley Greene is swinging a hot stick, slashing .298/.397/.463 with a 143 wRC+ and strong underlying metrics (91st percentile xSLG, 84th percentile barrel rate). Throughout his career, he’s been particularly lethal against right-handed pitchers (.825 OPS, 130 wRC+). That’s good news against starter Jack Leiter, who has a 5.80 FIP against left-handed bats while allowing them to hit .304.
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+193)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 58°.. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. In today's game, Brandon Nimmo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (91st percentile).. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Total Hits
Joc Pederson u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 58°.. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's game.. Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Wenceel Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 58°.. In today's game, Wenceel Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (81st percentile).. With a .261 BABIP since the start of last season, Wenceel Perez finds himself in the 12th percentile.
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 58°.. Jack Leiter will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Torkelson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. When it comes to his batting average, Spencer Torkelson has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .239 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .223.
Total Bases
Colt Keith u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 58°.. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Wenceel Perez u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 58°.. In today's game, Wenceel Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (81st percentile).. With a .261 BABIP since the start of last season, Wenceel Perez finds himself in the 12th percentile.
Total Bases
Matt Vierling o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Matt Vierling has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Riley Greene has notched a .338 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile.
Total Home Runs
Josh Jung o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
