Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 5, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
LAD
@
AZ
Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Freddie Freeman is one of my favorite looks on the board tonight, particularly for 2+ total bases at plus money. While he only earns a Strong rating in Batters-Box’s default model, his current-season rating is elite. The Dodgers slugger has consistently delivered in Strong-rated spots, especially on the road, where he has cleared this number 55.36% of the time over the last three seasons. He also owns 100% arsenal coverage against Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson, who has struggled badly against left-handed hitters. With Freeman swinging a hot bat and producing elite underlying metrics, this matchup is simply too good to ignore.
Ryne Nelson o5.5 Hits Allowed (-133)
The Dodgers continue to profile as one of the best offenses in baseball, making Ryne Nelson's hits allowed prop an appealing target. Nelson has surrendered 5+ hits in over half of his poorly rated matchups this season and has shown similar results in those spots at home. Los Angeles enters this game red hot, ranking first in wRC+, wOBA, OPS, and ISO over its last 12 games while remaining among the league leaders in hard-hit rate, barrel rate, and fly-ball rate. Even with Shohei Ohtani getting the night off, the rest of the Dodgers lineup is more than capable of doing damage.
SEA
@
DET
Fri, Jun 5 • 6:40 PM ET
u8.0 (-110)
It's been an up-and-down year for Framber Valdez, but he should be just fine vs. a Mariners lineup that's dead-last in OPS vs. lefties this season. The Tigers are not much better vs. righties (22nd) and face Bryan Woo, who's surrendered just six earned runs over his last 29 2/3 frames.
CLE
@
TEX
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:15 PM ET
CLE (-130)
MIL
@
COL
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:40 PM ET
COL (+135)
Brandon Sproat's ERA is above 6.00 in no small part because he's walking half the ballpark whenever he pitches (15th percentile in BB%). His 32nd-percentile hard-hit rate will get him into all kinds of trouble in Coors Field, and his bullpen (22nd in xFIP across the past two weeks) will just add gasoline to the fire.
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