Minnesota @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity of all games today at 34%. Hitting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. meets a tough challenge today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The standard deviation of Luke Maile's launch angle since the start of last season (25.9°) is in the 79th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Michael Lorenzen.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Randal Grichuk will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Austin Martin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Austin Martin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 12% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jac Caglianone will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) provides evidence that Jac Caglianone has had bad variance on his side this year with his .151 actual batting average.

The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Isbel are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Royce Lewis has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph figure. Royce Lewis has been unlucky this year, posting a .292 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .030 discrepancy.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Edouard Julien will have an edge in today's game. Edouard Julien has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand today.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Nick Loftin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Nick Loftin has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .209 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Loftin has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 84th percentile with a 1.78 K/BB rate.

Luke Keaschall's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Luke Keaschall's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 47.4% on the season to 61.1% in the past 7 days.

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today's game. Michael Massey will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (22.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last season.

Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's game. Kody Clemens's launch angle in recent games (30.8° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 16° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Byron Buxton projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Byron Buxton has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 18.1% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Maikel Garcia will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.