We're in for a pitching battle between Justin Wrobleski and Zack Wheeler this evening, with the books installing the Los Angeles Dodgers as +110 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies.
My Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, July 21, see Los Angeles pulling off the upset on the road.
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Who will win Dodgers vs Phillies today: Dodgers (+110)
The Philadelphia Phillies put up a 10-spot on the Los Angeles Dodgers last night. I always look to fade the team that scored double-digit runs, as it is incredibly difficult to replicate that level of success at the plate in back-to-back games.
Zack Wheeler won't be easy to get past, but Justin Wrobleski has been stellar. The Dodgers' hurler ranks in the 97th percentile in Pitching Run Value, and his 5% walk rate will ensure there won't be many freebies to get guys on base.
Also, when will you be able to get the Dodgers at this price to win next?
Play this to +100.
COVERS INTEL: Despite the Phillies' explosive Monday evening, they still own a 73 wRC+, 3.6% barrel rate, and .122 ISO over their last six games.Dodgers vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+109)
Despite last night being filled with a ton of runs, I think this one stays Under due to how well both pitchers have been performing over their last five games.
Wrobleski owns a 2.17 ERA, 2.99 xERA, and 0.90 WHIP, while Wheeler has posted a 2.37 ERA, 1.90 xERA, and 0.99 WHIP during that same stretch.
The offenses have not been that hot since coming back from the break either. Both teams have a wRC+ under 75, a wOBA under .280, and an ISO under .130 over their last six games.
I see a pitching duel brewing this evening in Philadelphia, and would play this to +105.
Play this to +100.
2026 MLB Season: 321-594 | -1.00 Units
Dodgers vs Phillies weather
Possible chance of postponement with an 85% chance of rain and 11 mph winds blowing out.
Dodgers vs Phillies odds
- Moneyline: Dodgers +120 | Phillies -122
- Run line: Dodgers +1.5 (-170) | Phillies -1.5 (+167)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (+115)
Dodgers vs Phillies trend
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the game total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Phillies.
How to watch Dodgers vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Tuesday, July 21, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | TBS |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Justin Wrobleski (10-2, 2.69 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Zack Wheeler (10-1, 2.13 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Phillies latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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