MLB Picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Mitch Keller.

Rafaela has touched home plate and recorded at least a hit in five consecutive games (14 total HRR). He sports a team-best 25 doubles and is on pace for career-best slashes. He also has an XBH and an RBI in three of his last five as he and the Sox look for a franchise record-tying 15th straight win.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle this season (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.2° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. American Family Field profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Luis Robert Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 115.8 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Carlos Cortes is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Carlos Cortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Carlos Cortes has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. Mike Trout has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Hunter Dobbins is a pitch-to-contact type (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Trout.

Travis Bazzana is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Travis Bazzana will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup.. Travis Bazzana will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Mookie Betts has been unlucky this year, notching a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .035 deviation.

I’m backing the Pittsburgh Pirates because this price is too long for a game my projection makes close to a coin flip. I’d play it to +110. Bubba Chandler’s command is uncomfortable, but his top-30 percentile barrel rate allowed should matter against a homer-dependent New York Yankees lineup. The gap is not wide enough to justify this moneyline. I have faded Will Warren plenty this season. He is not a bad pitcher, but the market keeps overvaluing him. His xERA sits near 5, and his below-average barrel profile meets a Pirates lineup with the eighth-highest barrel rate in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Feduccia in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Hunter Feduccia is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Hunter Feduccia has been pulled from the game early 48% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The league's 8th-tallest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Michael Harris II is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Given Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Josh Jung will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. In the past two weeks, Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. The 7th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson's true offensive skill to be a .342, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .304 wOBA.. Power-wise, Dansby Swanson is ranked in the 75th percentile, having paced 26.1 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.