PHI +124 o8.0
LAD -135 u8.0
MIL -115 o7.5
CHC +106 u7.5

Atlanta @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

ATL vs CIN Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Cincinnati Reds logo o8.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst

From what we can gather, the field at Bristol Motor Speedway will be pointing south, with the wind blowing roughly south to southeast. In what’s a very open-air construct, the ball may be flying out towards left field  and the dimensions aren’t exactly crazy large, with the wall 330 feet down the left field line. As it pertains to the pitching matchup, this could be a factor. Both Spencer Strider and Chase Burns love to pitch to fly balls, and each profile as high-strikeout, high-walk arms who will offer up plenty of balls in the air.

Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Matt Olson posted just so-so numbers in July after a terrific stretch in June, but I see him rebounding this month with more dominant performances. He bagged his 68th RBI of the year against the Reds in Thursday’s roundest, and I’m grabbing these odds for Olson to drive in another run here. With 47 of his RBI coming against righties, I’m counting on Olson to get the upper hand in his head-to-head clash with Chase Burns.

Walks Allowed
Chase Burns logo Chase Burns o1.5 Walks Allowed (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

The Cincinnati rookie has logged a 6.26 ERA through six starts this season, and he’s issued 2+ walks in four of those outings. Chase Burns mixes the good with the bad — he’s piled up 10 strikeouts in three straight games — but I see him struggling to get through this Atlanta order, especially after seeing the Braves club 13 hits in Thursday’s matchup.

Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Elly De La Cruz has never faced Atlanta Braves starter Spencer Strider, but he’s mashed 86 of his 120 hits against righties this year. His elite speed turns singles into doubles, and that work on the basepaths could be the key to cashing this Over in one at-bat. With De La Cruz sitting 13th in the majors in RBI, I like the pedigree for a clutch extra-base hit tonight in this spot.

Total RBIs
Sean Murphy logo
Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's game.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Outs Recorded
Spencer Strider logo
Spencer Strider u17.5 Outs Recorded (+140)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for home runs.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Strider in today's game.. Spencer Strider's high usage percentage of his fastball (54.4% this year) is likely hurting his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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ATL vs CIN Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

ATL vs CIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Nick Allen has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Nick Allen has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jake Fraley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jake Fraley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Jurickson Profar has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22° figure over the last two weeks.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Jurickson Profar has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22° figure over the last two weeks.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.7°) is quite a bit better than his 2.6° angle last season.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.7°) is quite a bit better than his 2.6° angle last season.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Gavin Lux's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gavin Lux's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Sean Murphy sits with a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Sean Murphy sits with a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Austin Riley has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.8% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Austin Riley has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.8% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's game.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's game.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive talent to be a .318, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .033 disparity between that figure and his actual .285 wOBA. Ozzie Albies's 19.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 92nd percentile.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive talent to be a .318, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .033 disparity between that figure and his actual .285 wOBA. Ozzie Albies's 19.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 92nd percentile.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Placing in the 80th percentile, Austin Hays sports a .325 BABIP this year.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Placing in the 80th percentile, Austin Hays sports a .325 BABIP this year.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Noelvi Marte has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 87-mph average.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Noelvi Marte has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 87-mph average.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Spencer Steer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.7° mark in the last week's worth of games. Last season, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.6°.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Spencer Steer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.7° mark in the last week's worth of games. Last season, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.6°.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Marcell Ozuna has notched a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bristol Motor Speedway as the 7th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Marcell Ozuna has notched a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Bristol Motor Speedway grades out as the #7 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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