Minnesota vs Boston Picks & Props
MIN vs BOS Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Willson Contreras will be in a tough position in today's matchup.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taj Bradley to throw 57 pitches in today's game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jen Pawol) in charge of the strike zone today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #25 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Taj Bradley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Taj Bradley has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.96 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.11 — a 0.85 K/9 disparity.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Brayan Bello.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge today.. Kody Clemens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.
MIN vs BOS Consensus Picks
MIN vs BOS Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MONEYLINE
|
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|
TOTAL
|
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|
SPREAD
|
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|
TOTAL HITS
W. Contreras
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
11.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Bell
(DH)
0.5 Total Hits
0.90
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
L. Keaschall
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.97
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.13%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HITS
B. Buxton
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.04
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-13.52%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
K. Clemens
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
3.84%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
W. Contreras
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.33%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
C. Narvaez
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
1.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.36%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
W. Abreu
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
M. Mayer
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.83%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
L. Keaschall
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.28
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
T. Larnach
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.31
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.63%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL BASES
V. Caratini
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
1.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.59%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
L. Keaschall
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.88%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
N. Sogard
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.93%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
M. Mayer
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.37%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
B. Lee
(SS)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.37%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
V. Caratini
(C)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.01%
EV
|
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|
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
T. Bradley
(SP)
4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.40
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.2%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Bell
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
11.25%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
K. Clemens
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.24%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
B. Buxton
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.38%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Outman
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.14%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.44%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
T. Larnach
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.67%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.22%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Narvaez
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.39%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
V. Caratini
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.43%
EV
|
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|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
B. Buxton
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.40
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.26%
EV
|
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|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Outman
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.81%
EV
|
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|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Duran
(LF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.19%
EV
|
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|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
W. Contreras
(1B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
N. Sogard
(1B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.17%
EV
|
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|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
M. Mayer
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Narvaez
(C)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.53
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-7.49%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
SPREAD
TOTAL HITS
W. Contreras
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
11.83%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.98%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Bell
(DH)
0.5 Total Hits
0.90
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.39%
EV
TOTAL HITS
L. Keaschall
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.97
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.13%
EV
TOTAL HITS
B. Buxton
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.04
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-13.52%
EV
TOTAL BASES
K. Clemens
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
3.84%
EV
TOTAL BASES
W. Contreras
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.33%
EV
TOTAL BASES
C. Narvaez
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
1.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.36%
EV
TOTAL BASES
W. Abreu
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
TOTAL BASES
M. Mayer
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.83%
EV
TOTAL BASES
L. Keaschall
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.28
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.89%
EV
TOTAL BASES
T. Larnach
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.31
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.63%
EV
TOTAL BASES
V. Caratini
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
1.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.59%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
L. Keaschall
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.88%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
N. Sogard
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.93%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
M. Mayer
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.37%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
B. Lee
(SS)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.37%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
V. Caratini
(C)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.01%
EV
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
T. Bradley
(SP)
4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.40
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.2%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Bell
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
11.25%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
K. Clemens
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.24%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.94%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
B. Buxton
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.38%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Outman
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.14%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.44%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
T. Larnach
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.67%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.22%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Narvaez
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.39%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
V. Caratini
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.43%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
B. Buxton
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.40
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.26%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Outman
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.81%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Duran
(LF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.19%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
W. Contreras
(1B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
N. Sogard
(1B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.17%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.81%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
M. Mayer
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.56%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Narvaez
(C)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.53
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-7.49%
EV
MIN vs BOS Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for this matchup