With another busy schedule across the majors today, my MLB player props home run analysis features sluggers Juan Soto, CJ Abrams, and Gavin Sheets.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, May 23.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
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Home run pick: Juan Soto (+308)
The New York Mets may be having a poor season, but Juan Soto is having a decent campaign of his own. The superstar is hitting .301 with 10 home runs and 21 RBI.
He's raking over the last week, batting .423 with four long balls. Soto has gone deep in three of his last four contests, and he even had a multi-homer game earlier this week against the Washington Nationals.
Soto faces Miami Marlins righty Max Meyer today, who has only allowed four bombs this season. While Soto is 0-for-3 lifetime against Meyer, the right-handed starter has given up two homers across his last two outings, and Soto is jumping on everything at the moment.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SNY, Marlins.TV
Home run pick: CJ Abrams (+560)
CJ Abrams is up to 11 home runs in 2026, and he currently leads the majors with 45 RBIs while hitting .299.
The Washington Nationals shortstop has a .345 average across the last seven days, and that includes a pair of long balls. Abrams went deep in Friday's series opener against the Atlanta Braves, his second HR in three games.
Abrams will see Grant Holmes on the mound today. He's 0-for-3 lifetime, but Holmes has surrendered four of his seven home runs to left-handed batters.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: BravesVision, Nationals.TV
Home run pick: Gavin Sheets (+540)
Gavin Sheets has been heating up, smacking three home runs across the last week while hitting .353.
He's hit all nine of his bombs this season off right-handed pitchers, and he'll face righty JT Ginn of the Athletics tonight. Sheets is also 2-for-2 lifetime against Ginn with a long ball.
While Ginn has only allowed six homers this season, four have been on the road, and he's given up a bomb in each of his last two outings away from Sacramento. Sheets has left the yard three times in his last six games.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSCA, Padres.TV
- HR picks: 6-39, -8.08 units
Today’s HR parlay
 Juan Soto |
Bet Now +12987 |
 CJ Abrams |
|
 Gavin Sheets |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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