MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Saturday, May 23

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: May 23, 2026 , 09:03 AM ET • 4 min read

Junior Caminero stays hot at the plate, per our MLB expert.

Junior Caminero Tampa Bay Rays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Junior Caminero of the Tampa Bay Rays.

With another busy schedule across the majors today, my MLB player props home run analysis features sluggers CJ Abrams and Junior Caminero. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, May 23. 

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR Odds
Nationals CJ Abrams +560
Rays Junior Caminero +401
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Home run pick: CJ Abrams (+560)

CJ Abrams is up to 11 home runs in 2026, and he currently leads the majors with 45 RBIs while hitting .299.

The Washington Nationals shortstop has a .345 average across the last seven days, and that includes a pair of long balls. Abrams went deep in Friday's series opener against the Atlanta Braves, his second HR in three games. 

Abrams will see Grant Holmes on the mound today. He's 0-for-3 lifetime, but Holmes has surrendered four of his seven home runs to left-handed batters. 

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: BravesVision, Nationals.TV

Home run pick: Junior Caminero (+401)

Junior Caminero is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now. He owns a .409 average across the last week, smacking two home runs during that span.

Caminero has 13 bombs overall, which ranks eighth in the big leagues. The youngster has two bombs over his previous five games.

He'll face Ryan Weathers of the New York Yankees this afternoon. The left-hander has allowed eight home runs this season, and they've all been against right-handed hitters.

Three of Caminero's homers are off lefties, and he's batting .271 with southpaws on the bump. 

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES Network, Rays.TV
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 6-39, -8.08 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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