Pittsburgh @ Detroit Picks & Props

PIT vs DET Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes ranks in the 70th percentile or higher in chase rate, whiff rate, and strikeout rate. His strikeout prop is currently set at 6.5, a total he has surpassed in five of his past six starts. Skenes boasts a ridiculous 0.65 ERA and 9.58 K/9 over that stretch. 

Strikeouts Thrown
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Sometimes bets are obvious, and it's not a bad thing. Skubal is arguably the best pitcher in baseball. He's in the 94th percentile in strikeout rate while the Pirates can't hit and have the third-highest K-rate vs. left-handed pitchers this season.

Strikeouts Thrown
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Tarik Skubal is coming off a season-high 98 pitches five days ago and although that might not seem like a big workload, the lefty does not get a long leash and there are some other factors that could shorten his start today. There is a serious risk of rain in Detroit. That rain is projected around the first pitch so there could be a delay which isn’t helpful for the Detroit starter who has gone Under 8.5 Ks in three straight starts despite throwing Over 21 innings. Nine strikeouts is a lot and even more for a pitcher who doesn’t hit 95 pitches every start and has to battle some East Coast elements. 

Total RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Alexander Canario is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Alexander Canario has a ton of pop (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tyler Holton is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Canario.. Alexander Canario's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.92 ft/sec now.. Alexander Canario has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 14.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 27.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton in today's game.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alexander Canario is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Alexander Canario has a ton of pop (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tyler Holton is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Canario.. Alexander Canario's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.92 ft/sec now.. Alexander Canario has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 14.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 27.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Rogers logo
Jake Rogers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-128)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. When it comes to his home runs, Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 15.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.5.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes.
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PIT vs DET Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

73% picking Detroit

27%
73%

Total PicksPIT 278, DET 756

Moneyline
PIT
DET
Moneyline
Total

60% picking Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Under

40%
60%

Total PicksPIT 247, DET 375

Total
Over
Under

PIT vs DET Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Alexander Canario is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Alexander Canario's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.92 ft/sec now. Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is deflated compared to his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alexander Canario is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Alexander Canario's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.92 ft/sec now. Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is deflated compared to his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, notching a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .043 deviation.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, notching a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .043 deviation.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average. Jared Triolo has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), grading out in the 82nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average. Jared Triolo has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), grading out in the 82nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Joey Bart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Bart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Parker Meadows will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. Extreme flyball bats like Parker Meadows are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Parker Meadows's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 16.7%.

Parker Meadows logo

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Parker Meadows will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. Extreme flyball bats like Parker Meadows are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Parker Meadows's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 16.7%.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Over the past week, Henry Davis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 25%. Over the past 7 days, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 28.1°, Henry Davis has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 34.3° figure in the past 14 days.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Over the past week, Henry Davis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 25%. Over the past 7 days, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 28.1°, Henry Davis has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 34.3° figure in the past 14 days.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Adam Frazier is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Adam Frazier has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 86.9-mph.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Frazier is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Adam Frazier has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 86.9-mph.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side against Paul Skenes today. Wenceel Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The Barrel% of Wenceel Perez has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.4% last year to 15.9% this season. Wenceel Perez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph average.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side against Paul Skenes today. Wenceel Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The Barrel% of Wenceel Perez has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.4% last year to 15.9% this season. Wenceel Perez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph average.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Rogers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .261 figure is deflated compared to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Rogers logo

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Rogers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .261 figure is deflated compared to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney today. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Heaney. Javier Baez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney today. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Heaney. Javier Baez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. This season, Andrew McCutchen has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 93 mph mark.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. This season, Andrew McCutchen has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 93 mph mark.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.1°.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.1°.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. With a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 80th percentile. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has put up a .280 batting average this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. With a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 80th percentile. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has put up a .280 batting average this year.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an advantage in today's game. Trey Sweeney will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, posting a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .024 deviation.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an advantage in today's game. Trey Sweeney will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, posting a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .024 deviation.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. Zach McKinstry will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 54.3%. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 54.3% on the season to 63.3% in the past 14 days.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. Zach McKinstry will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 54.3%. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 54.3% on the season to 63.3% in the past 14 days.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Tommy Pham will have an edge today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Tommy Pham's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.63 ft/sec now.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Tommy Pham will have an edge today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Tommy Pham's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.63 ft/sec now.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jahmai Jones Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jahmai Jones
J. Jones
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Jahmai Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jahmai Jones logo

Jahmai Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Jahmai Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Dillon Dingler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Dillon Dingler has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 85%. Dillon Dingler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Dillon Dingler has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders
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