Boston @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Because of Ryan Yarbrough's large platoon split, Kristian Campbell will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Kristian Campbell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Kristian Campbell with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Yarbrough who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Yarbrough today... and moreover, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the past 7 days, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 25%. Trevor Story has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Rob Refsnyder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet. Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.7°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Cody Bellinger are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Because of Ryan Yarbrough's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Carlos Narvaez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Yarbrough in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Romy Gonzalez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Yarbrough in today's matchup... and even better, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the last week's worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Trent Grisham pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Trent Grisham has put up a .355 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jarren Duran has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 7 days.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Abraham Toro will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Ryan Yarbrough) in this game. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Rafael Devers has posted a .388 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Pablo Reyes will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pablo Reyes will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jasson Dominguez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.9-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's game. Oswald Peraza has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.8-mph average. Oswald Peraza's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 45.6% on the season to 62.5% over the last 7 days.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (87%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an edge in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, DJ LeMahieu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 20%.