MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

SD @

WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

WAS (+115)

Best Odds

-102

Pick made: 21 hours ago

-105

-102

-110

-105

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total Hits

Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+180)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +179

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +180

u0.5 +163

u0.5 +160

Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Nationals Park grades out as the #26 field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Luis Garcia Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.3% to 10%.

+190 at bet365

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MIN @

PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+210)

Projection 1.28

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +208

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +210

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. This season, Henry Davis has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year's 92.5 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) suggests that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .157 actual batting average.

+210 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +141

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. In notching a 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz finds himself in the 84th percentile for power.

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIA @

NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)

Best Odds

o0.5 +350

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o0.5 +350

o0.5 +320

o0.5 +333

o0.5 +305

o0.5 +320

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity. He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Read Full Analysis

Total RBIs

Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)

Projection 0.46

Best Odds

o0.5 +250

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +225

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Liam Hicks hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Liam Hicks has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last season's 84.6-mph figure.. Liam Hicks's launch angle this year (15°) is significantly higher than his 10.6° figure last season.

+250 at bet365

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LAA @

TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+162)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +162

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +165

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+225)

Projection 1.32

Best Odds

o1.5 +225

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +198

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +225

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Logan O'Hoppe will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of every team in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

+225 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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BOS @

CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+250)

Projection 1.33

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +194

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +200

When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Manzardo tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.. Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 39.4% to 47.8%.

+250 at bet365

Total Bases

David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-290)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

u1.5 -290

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -290

Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.. David Fry's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.9-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.3-mph.

-290 at bet365

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ATL @

CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)

Best Odds

o0.5 +340

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o0.5 +332

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +330

o0.5 +270

o0.5 +305

o0.5 +340

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time. Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Read Full Analysis

Total Bases

Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +105

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Nick Lodolo in today's game.. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+110 at DraftKings

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MIL @

HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

MIL (-182)

Best Odds

-193

Pick made: 21 hours ago

-193

-205

-200

-205

-200

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Total Bases

Brice Turang u1.5 Total Bases (-170)

Projection 1

Best Odds

u1.5 -164

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -164

u1.5 -190

u1.5 -170

Minute Maid Park projects as the #27 park in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest average fence height in the majors.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

-164 at DraftKings

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DET @

CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o7.5 (-120)

Best Odds

o8.0 -102

Pick made: 12 hours ago

o8.0 -104

o8.0 -105

o8.0 -110

o8.0 -102

o8.0 -105

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread

CHW -1.5 (+166)

Best Odds

-1.5 +160

Pick made: 12 hours ago

-1.5 +158

-1.5 +160

-1.5 +155

-1.5 +158

-1.5 +155

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

Read Full Analysis

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KC @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. has notched a .379 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Posting a .301 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bobby Witt Jr. has performed in the 97th percentile.

+110 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Josh Jung o1.5 Total Bases (+141)

Projection 1.61

Best Odds

o1.5 +141

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +141

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +130

Josh Jung's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Josh Jung is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 48.7% to 55.6%.. Josh Jung has notched a .367 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

+141 at DraftKings

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SF @

COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)

Best Odds

o0.5 +340

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +340

o0.5 +305

o0.5 +310

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Hits

Braxton Fulford u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +130

u0.5 +136

u0.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braxton Fulford in the 16th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Braxton Fulford is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Braxton Fulford tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.. Based on Statcast data, Braxton Fulford is in the 21st percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .253.. Posting a .197 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Braxton Fulford is ranked in the 20th percentile.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

NYY @

ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Best Odds

o1.5 +114

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o1.5 +114

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +110

Put simply, Ben Rice is seeing pitches like soccer balls this week - and he enters this afternoon's clash with the Oakland A's on a 10-for-17 tear across his last four games, including a homer, a triple and three doubles.

He ranks second in the majors with a 1.047 OPS, and he's a standout hitter in just about every statistical category, from his .566 xSLG to his 17.7% barrel rate.

Total

u10.5 (-130)

Best Odds

u10.0 -108

Pick made: 8 hours ago

u9.5 +102

u10.0 -110

u10.0 -108

u10.0 -110

Will Warren's release slot suppresses launch angle, while New York's MLB-leading groundball bullpen extends the Yankees' advantage. With Jacob Lopez also generating weak contact, this 10.5 total is too high. Play Under 9.5.

Read Full Analysis

View 13 Picks

PHI @

LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)

Best Odds

o6.5 +118

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o6.5 +102

o6.5 +100

o6.5 +118

o6.5 +115

o6.5 +109

o6.5 +115

Yamamoto has racked up 7+ Ks in five of his past seven outings, and his five-pitch arsenal (and 29% whiff rate) will keep the Philadelphia Phillies off balance today.

He keeps his walks low - just 13 this year - and that's allowed him to pitch past the sixth inning in each of his last three starts.

Total

u8.5 (+107)

Best Odds

u9.0 -115

Pick made: 3 hours ago

u9.0 -117

u9.0 -115

u9.0 -118

u9.0 -125

u9.0 -115

The Phillies have cashed the Under in eight consecutive games, scoring no more than four runs in any of those games and posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ and .251 wOBA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is far from a "get right spot". They're 2-7 O/U in Andrew Painter's last nine starts.

View 13 Picks

AZ @

SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Randy Arozarena o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)

Best Odds

o1.5 +106

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +100

Watch for Arozarena to put an exclamation point on an impressive week here. He's piled up eight hits across his past six games, cashing this combo prop in three of those outings, and I'm encouraged by his 4-for-8 mark against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly.

Arozarena's savvy baserunning has contributed to 17 runs this month, and the RBI potential is off the charts with the Mariners scoring a combined 40 runs in their last six contests.

Total

u7.5 (-114)

Best Odds

u7.5 -114

Pick made: 2 hours ago

u7.5 -114

u7.5 -115

u7.5 -114

u7.5 -115

Bryce Miller has added 2-3 mph onto all of his pitches, and has tripled his slider usage from a season ago. That breaking ball is generating a 43.3% whiff rate thanks to an additional 2.6 inches of induced vertical break. That is a devastating equalizer against the Diamondbacks, who have a league-leading 48.2% pull rate over the last two weeks.

Read Full Analysis

View 13 Picks

CHC @

STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

3 LEG PARLAY

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Jordan Wicks u14.5 Outs Recorded

Outs Recorded

Matthew Liberatore o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed

Earned Runs Allowed

Bet now

+430

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

Jordan Walker has been one of the Cardinals' most productive hitters this season and gets a favorable matchup against Jordan Wicks, who was shelled for eight runs on nine hits in his last start. Wicks has yet to record more than 15 outs in an outing this year and should be on a short leash if he runs into trouble again.

Matthew Liberatore's strikeout numbers look solid, but he's still allowed 23 hits and 11 runs across just 14 2/3 innings. That's a concern against a Cubs lineup that ranks second in OBP and has enough power throughout the order to capitalize on scoring chances.

Total Home Runs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)

Best Odds

o0.5 +860

Pick made: an hour ago

o0.5 +860

o0.5 +800

o0.5 +710

o0.5 +825

o0.5 +750

o0.5 +700

Pete Crow-Armstrong had a big game on Saturday, going 4-for-5, homering and keeping up a running taunting dialogue with the St. Louis fans. Once he’s fired up, he generally stays that way. Of his 48 career home runs, 12 have come within a day of a previous blast. PCA has a five-game hitting streak and is hitting .364 with .917 OPS over that stretch. His seven homers against the Cardinals are the most against any team, and his three homers at Busch match his highest in any visiting park.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TB @

NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)

Best Odds

o0.5 +410

Pick made: 8 days ago

o0.5 +385

o0.5 +410

o0.5 +333

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline

TB (+115)

Pick made: 8 days ago

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

View 11 Picks

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