Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

MIN vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Minnesota Twins logo MIN (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst

Bryce Miller’s strikeout rate is down four points to a measly 20.1% this year, and most alarmingly, his walk rate has jumped to 12.1%. That’s put the onus on the youngster to rack up outs on contact, and to this point, we haven’t seen him do it. He’s allowed 11 earned runs in two starts this month and has also experienced a huge drop in whiff rate. The Mariners have also lost their way a bit with a 16th-ranked wRC+ in the last two weeks, failing to provide any sort of pop with a .145 Isolated Power. Against a master of control in Bailey Ober, this offense should fail to find any sort of consistency.

Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-167)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will bat from his bad side (0) today against Bailey Ober
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his good side against Bailey Ober in today's matchup.. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Leody Taveras has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.
Outs Recorded
Bailey Ober logo
Bailey Ober u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 17 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all stadiums, T-Mobile Park's RF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in this matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bailey Ober today.. In his last start, Bailey Ober allowed a monstrous 8 earned runs.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Mitch Garver logo
Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage today.. Mitch Garver has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rowdy Tellez logo
Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game.. Rowdy Tellez will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today.. Kody Clemens has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 14 days.
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MIN vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

65% picking Minnesota

65%
35%

Total PicksMIN 494, SEA 269

Moneyline
MIN
SEA
Moneyline

MIN vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Matt Wallner may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Matt Wallner logo

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Matt Wallner may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. When it comes to his batting average, Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. When it comes to his batting average, Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Bryce Miller. Brooks Lee pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Brooks Lee has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.1% rate last year to 10.9% this year.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Bryce Miller. Brooks Lee pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Brooks Lee has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.1% rate last year to 10.9% this year.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Seattle

Leody Taveras
L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his good side against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

Leody Taveras logo

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his good side against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has had some very poor luck this year. His .302 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has had some very poor luck this year. His .302 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.4-mph. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 11.6% on the season to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.4-mph. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 11.6% on the season to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Seattle

Mitch Garver
M. Garver
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage today. Mitch Garver has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph figure.

Mitch Garver logo

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage today. Mitch Garver has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph figure.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Christian Vazquez
C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Christian Vazquez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.6° mark in the last 14 days. Christian Vazquez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .220 figure is a good deal lower than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Vazquez logo

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Christian Vazquez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.6° mark in the last 14 days. Christian Vazquez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .220 figure is a good deal lower than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Rowdy Tellez
R. Tellez
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Rowdy Tellez logo

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Harrison Bader has notched a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Harrison Bader has notched a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Ben Williamson Total Hits Props • Seattle

Ben Williamson
B. Williamson
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Benjamin Williamson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ben Williamson logo

Ben Williamson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Benjamin Williamson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Byron Buxton's quickness has gotten better this season. His 29.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.22 ft/sec now.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Byron Buxton's quickness has gotten better this season. His 29.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.22 ft/sec now.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive skill to be a .334, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .046 gap between that figure and his actual .288 wOBA.

Carlos Correa logo

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive skill to be a .334, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .046 gap between that figure and his actual .288 wOBA.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Kody Clemens has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 14 days.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Kody Clemens has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
All Twins Money Leaders

Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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