Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement has been one of the most consistent hitters in baseball over the last two weeks, and his profile matches up perfectly against struggling Baltimore Orioles starter Trevor Rogers.
The matchup sets up well for Clement to go Over his bases total for my Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks for Friday, May 29.
Blue Jays vs Orioles predictions
Blue Jays vs Orioles best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
The combination of a struggling Baltimore Orioles starter, Trevor Rogers, and a red-hot Ernie Clement makes this plus-money wager a solid value at +115.
In fact, I’d bet Over 1.5 bases to -110
Clement has recorded a hit in nine of his last 10 games, averaging 2.3 bases over that stretch. He’s also seen the power numbers improve over the last eight with seven extra base hits, resulting in a 1.055 OPS in that stretch.
Rogers is a contact pitcher who ranks in the 23rd percentile in xBA, relying heavily on his four-seam fastball, which has a 42% usage rate against right-handed batters.
His last six starts have been abysmal, owning an 11.07 ERA in that stretch with a .343 opponent batting average while giving up hard contact at a 41.1% clip.
Clement’s hitting profile matches up well to Rogers, as he owns a .327 average against the four-seamer with a team-high .572 slug rate against the pitch.
COVERS INTEL: Clement 36.9% squared up rate ranks in the 97th percentile, which should match up well against Rogers’ 84.9% zone contact rate. 
Blue Jays vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)
I’ll continue fading Rogers by taking the Over on his earned runs total of 2.5. He’s eclipsed this total in six straight starts, and the Toronto Blue Jays should victimize him again as a strong-hitting team against the fastball.
Rogers owns just a 22% strikeout rate and is averaging just 2.5 K’s per game over his last four starts. Give me Vlad Guerrero Jr to go Under 0.5 strikeouts tonight. He’s seeing the ball well and has struck out just once in his last seven outings.
Blue Jays vs Orioles SGP
- Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
- Trevor Rogers Over 2.5 earned runs
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 strikeouts
Blue Jays vs Orioles home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+315)
Rogers has been hit hard and often over his last six starts, surrendering six home runs in that stretch off a 41% hard-hit rate.
Additionally, the Jays have seen an uptick in their power numbers with eight homers over their last seven games.
So the matchup favors Toronto to go yard tonight, and I’m betting on Kazuma Okamoto, who owns a team-high .596 slug rate against the four-seamer, with a 66% hard-hit rate.
- Best bets: 26-29, +1.10 units
- SGPs: 11-44 +4.60 units
- HR picks: 8-47, -0.67 units
Blue Jays vs Orioles odds
- Moneyline: Toronto +104 | Baltimore -115
- Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-195) | Baltimore -1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)
Blue Jays vs Orioles trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Orioles.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Orioles and game info
| Location | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| Date | Friday, May 29, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN1, MASN |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | TBD (X-X, X.XX ERA) |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Trevor Rogers (2-6, 6.96 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Orioles latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Orioles weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
