Another juicy Friday awaits. A full 15-game MLB slate sits before us, and I managed to find three of my favorite props across tonight’s action.
We will be filling our cards with plenty of plus-money plays and a handful of props carrying serious value.
Some of the league’s biggest names are in fantastic spots this evening, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Rafael Devers, and Brandon Lowe.
Let’s have some FUN with our MLB player props for Friday, May 29.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Rafael Devers |
Double | +267 |
| Rafael Devers |
To hit a home run | +328 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
Over 1.5 Total Bases | -102 |
 Brandon Lowe |
Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI | -114 |
Rafael Devers Double [+267] | Home Run (+328)
Why on Earth would we be sprinkling on San Francisco Giants slugger Rafael Devers to record a double and a home run instead of targeting his bases or hits, runs, or RBI props?
Well, typically, there is minimal value on a guy in a prime spot, especially when that prime spot happens to be Rafael Devers vs. Michael Lorenzen in Coors Field.
I am not paying -125 for over 1.5 bases or -104 for over 2.5 HRR when I can sprinkle on two props north of +250. If I think Devers is due to boom, I am expecting the ceiling.
And what is a missed home run? Typically a double.
The Giants slugger has turned it on this month, generating 68.18% hard contact, a 22.73% barrel rate, and a .369 wOBA over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching.
On the other side, Lorenzen has been getting torched by lefties lately, allowing 50% hard contact, a 21.1% barrel rate, and just a 26.3% ground ball rate over his last 60 batters faced. Those left-handed hitters also own a .452 xBA, .924 xSLG, and .466 xwOBA against him.
If you are nervous about taking these props, pay the juice on the bases line, but I think there is far more value on the double and home run.
- Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Rockies TV
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI (-114)
I got pretty filthy backing Pittsburgh Pirates second baseman Brandon Lowe tonight. I am all over his hits, runs, RBI prop, along with his double and home run props. I was basically forced into the double because of the price, and I always back any hitter I am on to leave the yard.
This evening, the Pirates slugger takes on Minnesota Twins right-hander Taj Bradley, who has allowed left-handed hitters to elevate the ball all season long. Over the last 60 lefties he has faced, opponents are producing a 22.2% barrel rate, 58.3% fly ball rate, and a .570 expected slugging percentage.
On the other side, in Lowe’s last 30 matchups against right-handed pitching, he owns a 60% hard-hit rate, 20% barrel rate, and 55% fly ball rate. Not to mention, he also carries 73% arsenal coverage against Bradley’s offerings.
If, for some reason, the Pirates slugger just misses a home run but still finds an extra-base hit, I am banking on it being a double. Similar to Devers' above.
So why not just take the over on his total bases? Well, in 82 elite ratings, Lowe has gone over 1.5 HRR 60.98% of the time, according to Batters-Box. I trust those trends, but if you want the plus money, I fully endorse it.
- Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Apple TV
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (-102)
Talk about a mouthwatering spot for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the Toronto Blue Jays star takes on Trevor Rogers and the Baltimore Orioles on Friday evening. The face of the 6 enters tonight with an elite rating on Batters-Box, where he continues to sport some delectable trends in elite spots.
In 34 elite ratings away from home:
-
1+ Hit: 76.47%
-
2+ Bases: 50%
-
2+ Hits, Runs & RBI: 55.88%
Guerrero Jr. also owns the highest arsenal coverage for an elite-rated player on today’s slate, mashing nearly 100% of Rogers’ offerings this season.
The southpaw has struggled in 2026 after his breakout campaign in 2025, and right-handed hitters have given him hell. Over the last 60 righties he has faced, opponents are generating 53.2% hard contact with a 14.9% barrel rate, while he has allowed 2.70 HR/9. Those hitters also own a .402 xBA, .745 xSLG, and .475 xwOBA against him.
At nearly even money for a hitter sporting a .432 wOBA and 178 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season, I want to be involved with Guerrero Jr. tonight.
And yes, as always, sprinkle the home run.
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SportsNet 1
- Prop picks: 167-289-29, +5.00 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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