MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.86 @ 5.24

DET
DET logo
DET

Twins vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.86

+114

o8.0 -125

+1.5 -180

DET logo
DET
DET

5.24

-125

u8.5 -105

-1.5 +160

Toronto @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.91 @ 4.26

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Blue Jays vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.91

-184

o9.0 -110

-1.5 -110

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.26

+160

u9.5 -127

+1.5 -104

Top Projection Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o1.5+120
St. Louis @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.92 @ 3.91

SF
SF logo
SF

Cardinals vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.92

-114

o7.5 -130

-1.5 +140

SF logo
SF
SF

3.91

+110

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Washington @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.82 @ 4.90

SD
SD logo
SD

Nationals vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.82

+165

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -135

SD logo
SD
SD

4.90

-182

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +125

Top Projection Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+231
Texas @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.79 @ 4.24

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Rangers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.79

+135

o7.5 -118

+1.5 -160

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.24

-155

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Cleveland @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.21 @ 4.11

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Guardians vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.21

-110

o8.5 -110

-1.5 +150

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.11

+102

u9.0 -119

+1.5 -164

NY Mets @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.59 @ 4.92

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Mets vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.59

+105

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -198

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.92

-115

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Houston @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.82 @ 4.91

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Astros vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.82

+138

o7.5 -130

+1.5 -144

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.91

-155

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
LA Angels @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.30 @ 5.77

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Angels vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.30

+180

o9.0 -115

+1.5 -115

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.77

-210

u9.5 -121

-1.5 +102

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
o0.5+200
Colorado @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.24 @ 6.43

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rockies vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.24

+210

o9.0 -107

+1.5 -105

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

6.43

-240

u9.5 -135

-1.5 -109

Top Projection Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
o1.5-120
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

5.72 @ 4.86

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Rays vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

5.72

+106

o8.5 +100

+1.5 -200

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.86

-120

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+214
Pittsburgh @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+140)
o2.5+140
Arizona @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.83 @ 4.51

KC
KC logo
KC

Diamondbacks vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.83

-110

o8.5 -120

-1.5 +150

KC logo
KC
KC

4.51

-104

u9.0 -125

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Chi. Cubs @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.48 @ 4.47

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Cubs vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.48

+116

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -185

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.47

-130

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.62 @ 5.69

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Reds vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.62

+240

o8.5 -113

+2.0 -125

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.69

-285

u9.0 -125

-2.0 -104

Top Projection JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
o0.5+234
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.91 @ 5.19

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Rays vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.91

--

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.19

--

--

--

Houston @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.40 @ 5.41

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Astros vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.40

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.41

--

--

--

Texas @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.81 @ 3.52

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Rangers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.81

--

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.52

--

--

--

Colorado @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.46 @ 6.19

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rockies vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.46

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

6.19

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.83 @ 4.27

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Pirates vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.83

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.27

--

--

--

Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH Wed, Sep 9 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.
View 9 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante logo
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Projection 4.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb, Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 37%.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 4 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blade Tidwell today.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.
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Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS @ San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
Total Home Runs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.
View 10 Picks
Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+107)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 53 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kade Anderson throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
View 9 Picks
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Vasile logo
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.

Strikeouts Thrown
Shane Baz logo
Shane Baz o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 4.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tallying 96.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Shane Baz places in the 97th percentile.. David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today's game.. Shane Baz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.
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New York Mets image thumbnail NYM @ Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Janson Junk logo
Janson Junk o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 3.82
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Janson Junk will hold that advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
MB
Moises Ballesteros o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Moises Ballesteros has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Moises Ballesteros has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
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Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has strong power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano doesn't generate many whiffs (20th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
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Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL (-123)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.

Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.
View 11 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT @ Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Esmerlyn Valdez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph in recent games.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Esmerlyn Valdez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 37° angle in the past week's worth of games.. Esmerlyn Valdez has posted a .361 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 91st percentile.
Total Bases
Rafael Flores Jr. logo
Rafael Flores Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rafael Flores pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Rafael Flores's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently.
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Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Logan Henderson.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
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Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Matt McLain has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 92.1-mph over the past two weeks.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.