New York @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the game for righty batting average. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Aaron Judge will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today. Extreme groundball bats like Aaron Judge are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Castillo.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren today. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 92.7-mph figure.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Julio Rodriguez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 18.4° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Miles Mastrobuoni has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Miles Mastrobuoni will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) may lead us to conclude that Miles Mastrobuoni has been unlucky this year with his .256 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. Paul Goldschmidt has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.4% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the past week. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. Leonardo Rivas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo today... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rice has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, J.C. Escarra will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. J.C. Escarra is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Will Warren who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 24.1%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Will Warren who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Jorbit Vivas will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jorbit Vivas stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jorbit Vivas has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like DJ LeMahieu usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Castillo. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, DJ LeMahieu has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290. Ranking in the 97th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, DJ LeMahieu demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core skill for achieving a high batting average. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, DJ LeMahieu has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Anthony Volpe has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Luis Castillo) in today's game. Jasson Dominguez has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week. Jasson Dominguez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Trent Grisham will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Oswald Peraza pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Oswald Peraza's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (18.3° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 13.3° seasonal mark. Oswald Peraza has been hot lately, compiling a a 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past 14 days. Oswald Peraza has been hot lately, notching a 92.4-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Benjamin Williamson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.306) may lead us to conclude that Benjamin Williamson has experienced some negative variance this year with his .261 actual wOBA.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Will Warren in today's game. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras's launch angle this year (26°) is considerably better than his 14.1° figure last year. Leody Taveras's launch angle recently (33.7° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 26° seasonal figure.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Cody Bellinger will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Cody Bellinger has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.6% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the last 14 days.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs. Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today's game. Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.4% up to 30%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) provides evidence that Rowdy Tellez has had some very poor luck this year with his .292 actual wOBA.