MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 14, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

AZ @

BAL Tue, Apr 14 • 6:35 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jose Fernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+203)

Projection 1.52

Best Odds

o1.5 +203

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +203

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +145

Jose Fernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Jose Fernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers today.. Over the last 14 days, Jose Fernandez's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 21.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

+203 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+107)

Projection 2.22

Best Odds

o1.5 +107

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +105

Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Trevor Rogers.. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 10.4% on the season to 18.8% in the last week.

+107 at DraftKings

View 5 Picks

CHC @

PHI Tue, Apr 14 • 6:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Moises Ballesteros o1.5 Total Bases (+210)

Projection 1.6

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +192

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have an advantage in today's game.. Moises Ballesteros has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+210 at bet365

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's matchup.

+135 at bet365

View 8 Picks

KC @

DET Tue, Apr 14 • 6:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick

Moneyline

DET (-125)

Best Odds

-120

Pick made: 8 hours ago

-126

-125

-126

-125

-120

Let's keep on keeping on with the Tigers here. They are coming off a sweep of the Marlins and now get to face Cole Ragans, who is 0-3 with a 5.91 ERA. Detroit will have the edge on the bump with Framber Valdez, and with the offense finally clicking, a short home favorite seems the right play.

Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +230

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +203

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +121

o0.5 +190

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

+230 at bet365

View 2 Picks

SF @

CIN Tue, Apr 14 • 6:40 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Eugenio Suarez u1.5 Total Bases (-155)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u1.5 -155

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -155

u1.5 -170

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.. There has been a decrease in Eugenio Suarez's average exit velocity this season, from 90.2 mph last year to 83.9 mph now. Over the past 7 days, Eugenio Suarez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.8 mph to 83.9 mph.. There has been a significant decline in Eugenio Suarez's launch angle from last season's 22° to 16.5° this year.

-155 at bet365

Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 2

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +125

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 7th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

WAS @

PIT Tue, Apr 14 • 6:40 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.. James Wood has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 16.1% rate last season to 23.1% this year.

+135 at bet365

Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.67

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +117

o0.5 +185

+200 at BetMGM

View 4 Picks

LAA @

NYY Tue, Apr 14 • 7:05 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+220)

Projection 1.47

Best Odds

o1.5 +220

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +159

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+220 at bet365

Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)

Projection 0.5

Best Odds

o0.5 +260

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +191

o0.5 +260

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +121

o0.5 +185

+260 at bet365

View 5 Picks

MIA @

ATL Tue, Apr 14 • 7:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Total RBIs (+306)

Projection 0.44

Best Odds

o0.5 +306

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +306

o0.5 +295

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +260

o0.5 +154

o0.5 +245

The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 84°.. Graham Pauley will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup.

+306 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+262)

Projection 0.47

Best Odds

o0.5 +262

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +262

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +215

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 84°.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.2) provides evidence that Heriberto Hernandez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 17.7 actual HR/600.

+262 at DraftKings

View 2 Picks

TOR @

MIL Tue, Apr 14 • 7:40 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+255)

Projection 1.31

Best Odds

o1.5 +255

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +189

o1.5 +255

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +215

When it comes to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in the league for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+255 at bet365

Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)

Projection 0.58

Best Odds

o0.5 +220

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +188

o0.5 +117

o0.5 +165

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in the league for right-handed home runs.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

+220 at bet365

View 6 Picks

TB @

CHW Tue, Apr 14 • 7:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+129)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 58 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +135

When assessing his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Schultz throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge today.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.66

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 58 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +164

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 8 Picks

CLE @

STL Tue, Apr 14 • 7:45 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick

Total

o8.5 (+100)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 1 hours ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

o8.5 -105

McGreevy's underlying metrics suggest Cleveland will score, while Cantillo's command issues against a right-handed heavy lineup and gusty winds blowing out mean a few free passes could turn into a run explosion in a hurry.

Cleveland's bullpen is surrendering 1.61 home runs per nine. The Cardinals' pen can't miss bats. Play the Over.

Moneyline

STL (+105)

Best Odds

+102

Pick made: 1 hours ago

+102

+100

+102

+100

-105

Cantillo walks over four batters per nine with a 45% fly ball rate, and that’s a dangerous combination for a lefty on a warm night with gusty winds blowing out to left.

Cleveland's bullpen is surrendering 1.61 home runs per nine, and while their bats boomed last night, the Guardians average just under four runs per night.

View 3 Picks

SEA @

SD Tue, Apr 14 • 9:40 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Luke Raley o1.5 Total Bases (+290)

Projection 1.22

Best Odds

o1.5 +290

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +214

o1.5 +290

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Michael King today.. Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Luke Raley has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 96.7-mph.

+290 at bet365

Total RBIs

Luke Raley o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)

Projection 0.42

Best Odds

o0.5 +350

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +257

o0.5 +350

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +225

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +215

+350 at bet365

View 2 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATH Tue, Apr 14 • 9:40 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (+139)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

u0.5 +139

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +139

u0.5 -110

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +127

u0.5 +105

Sam Haggerty is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park has the 6th-deepest LF fences in the league.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sam Haggerty in today's game.. Sam Haggerty's 2.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 18th percentile since the start of last season.

+139 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+190)

Projection 1.56

Best Odds

o1.5 +190

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +161

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +155

Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

+190 at bet365

View 3 Picks

NYM @

LAD Tue, Apr 14 • 10:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+190)

Projection 1.57

Best Odds

o1.5 +190

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +136

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +145

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 17th-best batter in baseball.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Among all major league parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's matchup.

+190 at bet365

Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

o0.5 +250

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +186

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +121

o0.5 +190

+250 at bet365

View 3 Picks

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