We're kicking off the week with a smaller MLB slate — just 10 games on the board — but there's still plenty of value to be found courtesy of Polymarket, which allows baseball fans across the country to get in on the action.
We've got some MLB picks from our baseball experts, along with some more MLB best bets from the Covers staff, to fill up your card for Monday, April 13.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: BOS/MIN o7.5 |
+104 |
 Jon Metler: PHI ML |
-170 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Red Sox/Twins Over 7.5
Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket
THE BAT projects this number closer to 8.5 total runs, as even with Garrett Crochet on the mound, the Boston Red Sox are capable of doing damage against Bailey Ober, who is a flyball pitcher that isn’t missing bats this season (4.61 K/9). His starts have also trended towards high scoring for the Twins, with results of 8–6 and 10–4. There’s also some uncertainty around Crochet’s workload amid potential weather concerns and a possible delay, with a 65% chance of rain.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Phillies moneyline
Price: 63¢ (-170) at Polymarket
The Philadelphia Phillies are trading as a 63% favorite on Polymarket, and that’s a number I’m willing to back — I price them closer to a 67% favorite in this matchup against the Chicago Cubs. The wind is blowing out to right field at Citizens Bank Park at 15 mph, but that’s much less of a concern for Cristopher Sánchez than it is for Javier Assad. Sánchez is one of the best left-handed pitchers in the game and excels at generating ground balls, which helps neutralize the impact of the ballpark conditions. Assad, on the other hand, is more vulnerable in these conditions, and the wind blowing out to right field could significantly work against him.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dodgers ML | -170 |
| Read analysis in our team vs. team predictions | |
| Astros ML | +150 |
| Read analysis in our Astros vs. Mariners predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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