MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

SD @

WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

WAS (+115)

Best Odds

-102

Pick made: 21 hours ago

-108

-105

-102

-110

-105

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .067 discrepancy.. Utilizing Statcast data, Manny Machado is in the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 28.200.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIN @

PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+210)

Projection 1.28

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +208

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +210

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. This season, Henry Davis has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year's 92.5 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) suggests that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .157 actual batting average.

+210 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Strikeouts Thrown

Zebby Matthews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-152)

Projection 4.56

Best Odds

u5.5 -152

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u5.5 -153

u5.5 -160

u5.5 -152

u4.5 +130

u5.5 -160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zebby Matthews to throw 84 pitches today (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) in charge of the strike zone today.. The #9 field in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Zebby Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

-152 at FanDuel

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MIA @

NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)

Best Odds

o0.5 +350

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o0.5 +350

o0.5 +330

o0.5 +333

o0.5 +305

o0.5 +320

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity. He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Read Full Analysis

Total Bases

Carson Benge u1.5 Total Bases (-170)

Projection 1.05

Best Odds

u1.5 -170

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -220

u1.5 -173

u1.5 -170

The #6 park in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-least humid conditions on the slate at 29%.. Carson Benge's 10.5° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 23rd percentile.. Carson Benge has compiled a .136 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 16th percentile.

-170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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LAA @

TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+162)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 48 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +162

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +165

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+210)

Projection 1.44

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: 48 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +199

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +210

As it relates to his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's game.. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

+210 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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BOS @

CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-270)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

u1.5 -270

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -270

Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.. David Fry's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.9-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.3-mph.

-270 at bet365

Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

o0.5 +201

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +201

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +182

o0.5 +160

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits.. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

+201 at DraftKings

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ATL @

CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)

Best Odds

o0.5 +343

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o0.5 +343

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +330

o0.5 +270

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +310

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time. Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Read Full Analysis

Total Bases

Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.. Michael Harris II has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.1% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

+105 at bet365

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MIL @

HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

MIL (-182)

Best Odds

-200

Pick made: 21 hours ago

-205

-200

-205

-200

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +135

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.8% rate last season to 18.9% this season.. Yordan Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 18.8% to 24.2%.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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DET @

CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o7.5 (-120)

Best Odds

o8.0 -104

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o8.0 -104

o8.0 -105

o8.0 -110

o8.0 -105

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread

CHW -1.5 (+166)

Best Odds

-1.5 +160

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-1.5 +158

-1.5 +160

-1.5 +155

-1.5 +158

-1.5 +155

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

Read Full Analysis

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KC @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. has notched a .379 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Posting a .301 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bobby Witt Jr. has performed in the 97th percentile.

+110 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Josh Jung o1.5 Total Bases (+141)

Projection 1.61

Best Odds

o1.5 +141

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +141

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +130

Josh Jung's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Josh Jung is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 48.7% to 55.6%.. Josh Jung has notched a .367 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

+141 at DraftKings

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SF @

COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)

Best Odds

o0.5 +340

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +340

o0.5 +305

o0.5 +310

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Home Runs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)

Projection 0.27

Best Odds

o0.5 +375

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +350

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +330

o0.5 +375

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Coors Field ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

+375 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

NYY @

ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Best Odds

o1.5 +117

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o1.5 +117

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +110

Put simply, Ben Rice is seeing pitches like soccer balls this week - and he enters this afternoon's clash with the Oakland A's on a 10-for-17 tear across his last four games, including a homer, a triple and three doubles.

He ranks second in the majors with a 1.047 OPS, and he's a standout hitter in just about every statistical category, from his .566 xSLG to his 17.7% barrel rate.

Total

u10.5 (-130)

Best Odds

u10.0 -105

Pick made: 7 hours ago

u10.0 -110

u10.0 -105

u10.0 -110

Will Warren's release slot suppresses launch angle, while New York's MLB-leading groundball bullpen extends the Yankees' advantage. With Jacob Lopez also generating weak contact, this 10.5 total is too high. Play Under 9.5.

Read Full Analysis

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PHI @

LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)

Best Odds

o6.5 +116

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o6.5 +101

o6.5 +100

o6.5 +116

o6.5 +115

o6.5 +109

o6.5 +110

Yamamoto has racked up 7+ Ks in five of his past seven outings, and his five-pitch arsenal (and 29% whiff rate) will keep the Philadelphia Phillies off balance today.

He keeps his walks low - just 13 this year - and that's allowed him to pitch past the sixth inning in each of his last three starts.

Total

u8.5 (+107)

Best Odds

u9.0 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

u9.0 -117

u9.0 -115

u9.0 -118

u9.0 -120

u9.0 -115

The Phillies have cashed the Under in eight consecutive games, scoring no more than four runs in any of those games and posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ and .251 wOBA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is far from a "get right spot". They're 2-7 O/U in Andrew Painter's last nine starts.

View 13 Picks

AZ @

SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Randy Arozarena o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)

Best Odds

o1.5 +106

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +100

Watch for Arozarena to put an exclamation point on an impressive week here. He's piled up eight hits across his past six games, cashing this combo prop in three of those outings, and I'm encouraged by his 4-for-8 mark against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly.

Arozarena's savvy baserunning has contributed to 17 runs this month, and the RBI potential is off the charts with the Mariners scoring a combined 40 runs in their last six contests.

Total

u7.5 (-114)

Best Odds

u7.5 -114

Pick made: 2 hours ago

u7.5 -117

u7.5 -115

u7.5 -114

u7.5 -118

u7.5 -115

Bryce Miller has added 2-3 mph onto all of his pitches, and has tripled his slider usage from a season ago. That breaking ball is generating a 43.3% whiff rate thanks to an additional 2.6 inches of induced vertical break. That is a devastating equalizer against the Diamondbacks, who have a league-leading 48.2% pull rate over the last two weeks.

Read Full Analysis

View 13 Picks

CHC @

STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)

Best Odds

o0.5 +860

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

o0.5 +860

o0.5 +800

o0.5 +710

o0.5 +825

o0.5 +750

o0.5 +700

Pete Crow-Armstrong had a big game on Saturday, going 4-for-5, homering and keeping up a running taunting dialogue with the St. Louis fans. Once he’s fired up, he generally stays that way. Of his 48 career home runs, 12 have come within a day of a previous blast. PCA has a five-game hitting streak and is hitting .364 with .917 OPS over that stretch. His seven homers against the Cardinals are the most against any team, and his three homers at Busch match his highest in any visiting park.

Read Full Analysis

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Michael Busch o2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+210)

Best Odds

o2.5 +245

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

o2.5 +228

o2.5 +245

o2.5 +210

o2.5 +230

Michael Busch has been the best hitting first baseman in MLB for May and will add to his totals on the month’s final day. He’s hitting 73% better than the league average for the month and has a .955 OPS. Busch has six runs, nine hits, and eight RBI over the last week, and he has four hits and four RBIs in the first two games of the series. Busch homered and had a two-hit game in his only previous time facing Liberatore.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

TB @

NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)

Best Odds

o0.5 +410

Pick made: 8 days ago

o0.5 +385

o0.5 +410

o0.5 +333

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline

TB (+115)

Pick made: 8 days ago

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

View 11 Picks

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