There’s no better way to spend your Sunday than sitting back and watching baseballs fly out of the park.
My MLB player props surrounding the home run market highlight Juan Soto and Matt Olson on May 31
Keep reading for the full breakdown below.
Best MLB home run props today
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Juan Soto
Matt Olson
Home run pick: Juan Soto (+273)
There hasn’t been a better all-around hitter in baseball over the past 15 days than Juan Soto. The New York Mets star is batting .372 with six dingers over that span.
Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity.
Soto has beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.
Miami Marlins starter Janson Junk has allowed six homers over his last five starts, while ranking in the 33rd percentile for hard-hit rate.
- Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SNY, Marlins.TV
Home run pick: Matt Olson (+325)
Matt Olson smacked his 16th home run of the season yesterday, the second most in the NL. The Atlanta Braves slugger will enjoy hitting out of Great American Ball Park this afternoon, which has the third-highest Park Factor in the majors (103).
Cincinnati Reds starter Nick Lodolo also has an arsenal that will play right into Olson’s wheelhouse. Lolodo’s sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time.
Olson has hit four of his home runs against the sinker, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.
- Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Reds/TV, BravesVision
- HR picks: 6-17, +4.14 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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