MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 7, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Apr 7 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams in today's matchup.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Apr 7 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Miguel Vargas will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as baseball's 17th-best home run batter.. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Tyler O'Neill has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 figure is a good deal lower than his .352 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Apr 7 • 4:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jose Fernandez logo
Jose Fernandez o0.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.06 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Over the last 7 days, Jose Fernandez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).. Posting a 93.9-mph average exit velocity over the past week, Jose Fernandez has been in great form lately.. Jose Fernandez has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° 37.5% of the time in the last week's worth of games.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jose Fernandez logo
Jose Fernandez o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-111)
Projection 1.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Over the last 7 days, Jose Fernandez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).. Posting a 93.9-mph average exit velocity over the past week, Jose Fernandez has been in great form lately.. Jose Fernandez has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° 37.5% of the time in the last week's worth of games.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Apr 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Javier Assad logo
Javier Assad u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-140)
Projection 3.39 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Javier Assad in the 8th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.. Compared to the average hurler, Javier Assad has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an -15.1 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.. Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19.4% underlying K%.. Chad Fairchild projects as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.. Projected catcher Carson Kelly profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 21° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Apr 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 21° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 21° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Apr 7 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (-144)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Gregory image
Chris Gregory
Publishing Editor

Pittsburgh has won five straight games heading into Monday's series opener against the Padres and will send Paul Skenes to the mound for Game 2 in what hopes to be a bounce-back effort after getting pulled in the first inning against the Mets on Opening Day. I'm not expecting a second straight bad outing for Skenes.

Outs Recorded
Paul Skenes logo
Paul Skenes u17.5 Outs Recorded (+185)
Projection 17.16 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
It may be wise to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Among every team today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Apr 7 • 6:45 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 6.13 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Compared to the average pitcher, Jacob Misiorowski has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -8.9 fewer adjusted pitches each game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.. Jacob Misiorowski will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Jacob Misiorowski has used his four-seam fastball 8.9% more often this season (63.3%) than he did last year (54.4%).. Given the 1.58 disparity between Jacob Misiorowski's 12.27 K/9 and his 10.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to perform worse in future games.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Apr 7 • 6:45 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers.. Jordan Walker has been hot lately, putting up a 98.4-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days.. As it relates to his home runs, Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.8.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today.. Compared to last season, Alec Burleson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.4% to 55.6% this season.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Apr 7 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Aaron Judge found his rhythm this weekend against the Marlins, batting 6-for-12 with 2+ total bases in each contest.

Judge feasts on sinkers and cutters, which Athletics starter Aaron Civale goes to over 60% of the time. The A's bullpen has also been brutal, ranking 30th in WHIP and 22nd in ERA.

 

Total RBIs
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.8-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Brent Rooker has been hot lately, posting a an 18.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last 14 days.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Apr 7 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 21° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Teoscar Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #3 park in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 21° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Apr 7 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Tarik Skubal has picked up right where he left off last season, allowing just one earned run through his first two starts (13 innings) this year.

Skubal will dominate again vs. the Twins, who are averaging a meager 1.67 runs in the first five innings and batting just .169 vs. southpaws.

Strikeouts Thrown
Tarik Skubal logo
Tarik Skubal u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 7.49 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) calling pitches in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-worst venue in the league for strikeouts.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. With 7 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Tarik Skubal will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Apr 7 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Cole Young logo Cole Young o0.5 Total Hits (-145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Cole Young has made an immediate impact in his second season in the majors, collecting at least one hit in eight of 10 appearances.

Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi has dealt with plenty of injuries over the past year and doesn't look up to speed just yet. He carries a bloated 11.42 ERA through two starts while allowing 6+ hits in both outings.

Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo
George Kirby u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+118)
Projection 5.46 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) calling pitches in today's game.. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Kirby in today's matchup.. George Kirby has gone to his slider 18% less often this year (9.5%) than he did last year (27.5%).. Considering the 1.33 gap between George Kirby's 9.72 K/9 and his 8.39 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Apr 7 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of the day.
Total RBIs
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Apr 7 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for righty home runs.. Angel Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast projects the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jo Adell projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for righty home runs.. Angel Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast projects the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Apr 7 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Robbie Ray logo
Robbie Ray o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 6.85 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout skill, Robbie Ray projects as the 20th-best starter in the game right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Robbie Ray has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording 5.7 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.. The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brandon Marsh, Otto Kemp, Kyle Schwarber).. Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
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