Baltimore vs Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luisangel Acuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Luisangel Acuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Luisangel Acuna will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Miguel Vargas will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Chase Meidroth's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game. Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Taylor Ward has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Taylor Ward has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 58.3% of the time over the last 14 days. Taylor Ward is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.7% rate since the start of last season).

Edgar Quero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Edgar Quero will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Trevor Rogers in today's game. Edgar Quero has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Pete Alonso has been hot of late, notching a 94.9-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.381) implies that Pete Alonso has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .364 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyler O'Neill has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 figure is a good deal lower than his .352 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Tyler O'Neill's 15.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 94th percentile among his peers.

Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 89th percentile with a 20.2° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB.

Jeremiah Jackson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 25.7° launch angle over the last 7 days. In notching a .357 BABIP since the start of last season, Jeremiah Jackson is ranked in the 94th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gunnar Henderson has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 26° angle.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Lenyn Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers today. Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tristan Peters has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Tristan Peters will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Adley Rutschman has been hot of late, putting up a 93.1-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks. Adley Rutschman has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 30.8% of the time over the past week.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith today. Colton Cowser has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Colton Cowser's 14.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 88th percentile since the start of last season. Colton Cowser's 96-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Munetaka Murakami is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Munetaka Murakami will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 7 games.

Tanner Murray has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Blaze Alexander has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 8 games.

Samuel Basallo has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 7 games.

Dylan Beavers has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 7 games.

Austin Hays has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 9 games.